EUR/USD eyes 2023 top after quick rally

EUR/USD returns to positive trend after Powell confirms dovish policy adjustment.
Technical signals reflect weakening positive bias; next resistance could be at 1.1240-1.1274.

Christina Parthenidou XM

EURUSD has had a great August so far, rising sharply from 1.0776 to nearly 1.1200 to mark its best monthly performance since November 2022.

The pair violated a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern after refusing to close below 1.1100 on Friday, increasing optimism that the rally might have more room to run. Nevertheless, it is crucial to be cautious as the RSI and stochastic oscillator display weakness in the overbought zone, indicating that selling interest persists.

The 1.1240-1.1274 area, which includes the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2021-2022 downtrend and the trendline from the 2022 trough, could keep the bulls busy in the short term. A move higher could hit a wall somewhere between 1.1340 and 1.1370, with the latter being a tough obstacle during November 2021-February 2022. If the battle there is won, it could trigger substantial buying up to the 2022 double top region of 1.1480.

Looking to the downside, a close below 1.1100 might lead the price towards the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) seen near 1.1000. A move lower could shift all the attention to the 50% Fibonacci of 1.0940 and the broken resistance trendline from July 2023. Then, the 50- and 200-day SMAs at 1.0880 and 1.0845 respectively could block an extension to 1.0780. If this does not occur, selling pressure could stretch towards the 1.0725 region.

All in all, EURUSD exited its 2024 sideways trajectory and might aim for new higher highs, though for a meaningful rally, it might need to cross above the 2023 barrier of 1.1240-1.1274.

Author

Christina Parthenidou

Christina joined the XM investment research department in May 2017. She holds a master degree in Economics and Business from the Erasmus University Rotterdam with a specialization in International economics.

EUR/USD extends its optimism past 1.1900

EUR/USD retains a firm underlying bid, surpassing the 1.1900 mark as the NA session draws to a close on Monday. The pair’s persistent uptrend comes as the US Dollar remains on the defensive, with traders staying cautious ahead of upcoming US NFP prints and CPI data.

GBP/USD hits three-day peaks, targets 1.3700

GBP/USD is clocking decent gains at the start of the week, advancing to three-day highs near 1.3670 and building on Friday’s solid performance. The better tone in the British Pound comes on the back of the intense sekk-off in the Greenback and despite re-emerging signs of a fresh government crisis in the UK.

Gold picks up pace, retargets $5,100

Gold gathers fresh steam, challenging daily highs en route to the $5,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Monday’s session. The precious metal finds support from fresh signs of continued buying by the PBoC, while expectations that the Fed could lean more dovish also collaborate with the uptick.

Litecoin eyes $50 as heavy losses weigh on investors

Following a strong downtrend across the crypto market over the past week, Litecoin holders are under immense pressure. The Bitcoin fork has trimmed about $1.81 billion from its market capitalization since the beginning of the year, sending it below the top 20 cryptos by market cap.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Ripple exposed to volatility amid low retail interest, modest fund inflows

Ripple (XRP) is extending its intraday decline to around $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid growing pressure from the retail market and risk-off sentiment that continues to keep investors on the sidelines.