EUR/USD: Euro remains in a defensive mode near 1.0500 level ahead of rich US agenda

The single European currency continues to trade sideways at 1,05 level as investors maintain a wait-and-see attitude ahead of today's very rich on macroeconomic news agenda from the United States.

Although the catalysts that have supported the significant rise of the US currency in recent weeks remain on the table, signs of fatigue are now clear, fully confirming my thoughts as they have been expressed in previous articles.

Bets remain mixed on the prospect of further cuts in key rates by Fed, when before Donald Trump's victory the odds of another cut in December were extremely high. So today's announcement of Personal Consumption Expenditures, the  Fed's favorite indicator, which is a harbinger of inflationary pressures, is awaited with great interest.

One of the catalysts that continues to support the European currency's reaction is the slight decline in yields on US government debt securities, with the 10-y bond temporarily falling below the 4.30 level, having now moved well away from the recent highs of 4.48.

This development currently confirms my assessment of a decline in the level of yields with the scenario of a return close to 4.00 in near future remaining on the table.

The broader market picture remains the same. Geopolitical risks, which remain extremely high, and concerns about the course of the European economy,  complement the negative environment, weighing on the European currency and put some barriers to strong reaction efforts.

Apart from some good reactions, it is likely that the European currency will currently find it particularly difficult to develop strong upward momentum and move far away from the recent 1,05 - 1,0550   levels.

In any case, today's very rich agenda could change the bets and strengthen the dynamic reaction of the European currency or, on the other hand, bring the dollar back to the fore with a fresh rally.

In addition to the Fed's favorite inflation indicator, the revised estimate for the growth path in the United States for the 3rd quarter and durable goods orders stand out on today's agenda.

Without any major surprises, investors may avoid the big bets and the exchange rate is likely to remain in a narrow trading range, especially in view of tomorrow's Thanksgiving holiday in the United States.

No changes in my thoughts, I will maintain the idea of ​​buying the European currency on new dips near to recent lows , as the US currency's gains in recent weeks have been quite significant and signs of fatigue from the recent rally are already on the table.