The single European currency remains in a narrow trading range near 1.05 levels with investors avoiding big bets in view of a rich agenda over the next three days, culminating in jobs data to be announced in US on Friday's noon.
The first days of the week was without any surprises, with the European currency remaining in a defensive mode unable to develop any strong upward momentum, with some good reactions being all the best it has managed so far.
But at tyhe same time the European currency has avoided further losses and remains well away from the recent lows of 1.0330, confirming my thought that the recent rally in the US dollar has shown significant signs of fatigue. But as some catalysts that act as ''weights'' on European currency remains in play, any reaction so far is limited.
Political instability in two of the eurozone's major economies, France and Germany, combined with concerns about the course of the European economy and the maintenance of geopolitical risk at high levels, continue to keep the US currency in the spotlight with the possibility of a new dynamic to remains high.
At the same time, the prospects of interest rate cuts by the Fed and ECB remain high on investors' agendas, with the landscape being relatively more cloudy regarding the Fed's moves, as the probability of a new interest rate cut by the end of the year is just over 50%.
Today's agenda is quite rich with a multitude of economic announcements as well as statements by officials, mainly from the Fed, with those of Chairman Jerome Powell and ECB's President Christine Lagarde standing out.
The limited range of fluctuation that was characteristic of yesterday will likely not be maintained today as developments in the political environment in the European Union as well the rich agenda with news and statements are expected to ''shake'' the markets and volatility to increase.
There are no changes in my thoughts, I remain in a wait-and-see position, maintaining the idea of buying the European currency on some sharp fresh dips near the recent lows of 1.0330.
Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD holds near 1.0500 ahead of Powell speech
EUR/USD holds steady at around 1.0500 in the American session on Wednesday. The weaker-than-expected ADP Employment Change and the ISM Services PMI data hurt the USD and help the pair keep its footing. Fed Chairman Powell will speak later in the day.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2700 after US data
Following a pullback, GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.2700 in the second half of the day on Wednesday as the US Dollar loses strength following the disappointing data releases. Markets eagerly await Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech.
Gold advances to $2,650 area as US yields edge lower
Following a consolidation phase near $2,640, Gold gains traction and rises to the $2,650 area. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield pushes lower after weak macroeconomic data releases from the US, helping XAU/USD stretch higher.
UnitedHealth unit CEO murdered early Wednesday in Manhattan Premium
UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson was gunned down in Manhattan Wednesday morning. Thompson was shot by a masked gunman as he was in the city for an investor meeting.
Four out of G10
In most cases, the G10 central bank stories for December are starting to converge on a single outcome. Here is the state of play: Fed: My interpretation of Waller’s speech this week is that his prior probability for a December cut was around 75% before the data.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.