Μild losses for the single European currency in early trading on Wednesday as signs of fatigue that have emerged over the past three days remain on the table.
Τhe European currency is fighting to defend the level of 1,1150 which has temporarily lost it.
Yesterday did not provide any surprises and all the announcements were close to the estimates with the result that the exchange rate was limited to a narrow fluctuation range as investors avoided big bets.
The overall market's picture has not changed and remains as it has been for the past few days with bets on the prospect of a rate cut by the Fed in September monopolizing interest.
Although several days have passed recent macroeconomic fundamentals on the fatigue of the US labor sector and a significant easing of inflationary pressures now give room to Fed to proceed with the first cut in key interest rates in many months by narrowing the interest rate gap between the euro and the dollar, something that has weighed heavily on the American currency in recent weeks.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday significantly increased bets on Fed's first interest rate cut in September.
However, I believe that the dust from Powell's rhetoric slowly settles, the speculation that has been built around the rate cut is expected to be limited, which is likely to limit further gains in the European currency and help the US currency to return to better prices.
Today's agenda is extremely poor without anything of note that could support the scenario of a narrow trading range for the second day in a row.
Although the risk of the further rise of the euro and the breakdown of the 1,12 level is in the game, I will remain in my thoughts for the time being maintaining a position in favor of the US dollar from the 1,12 levels as I have mentioned in a previous article.
Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD extends recovery beyond 1.0400 amid Wall Street's turnaround
EUR/USD extends its recovery beyond 1.0400, helped by the better performance of Wall Street and softer-than-anticipated United States PCE inflation. Profit-taking ahead of the winter holidays also takes its toll.
GBP/USD nears 1.2600 on renewed USD weakness
GBP/USD extends its rebound from multi-month lows and approaches 1.2600. The US Dollar stays on the back foot after softer-than-expected PCE inflation data, helping the pair edge higher. Nevertheless, GBP/USD remains on track to end the week in negative territory.
Gold rises above $2,620 as US yields edge lower
Gold extends its daily rebound and trades above $2,620 on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield declines toward 4.5% following the PCE inflation data for November, helping XAU/USD stretch higher in the American session.
Bitcoin crashes to $96,000, altcoins bleed: Top trades for sidelined buyers
Bitcoin (BTC) slipped under the $100,000 milestone and touched the $96,000 level briefly on Friday, a sharp decline that has also hit hard prices of other altcoins and particularly meme coins.
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building
Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.