|

EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

EUR/USD Elliott Wave analysis

Function: Counter Trend.

Mode: Corrective.

Wave structure: Navy Blue Wave 2.

Position: Gray Wave C.

Next lower degree direction: Navy Blue Wave 3.

Details: Navy blue wave 1 appears completed; navy blue wave 2 is now active.

Wave cancel level: 1.12136.

EUR/USD day chart analysis summary

The EURUSD Day Chart’s Elliott Wave analysis identifies the current trend as counter-trend, within a corrective structure. The focus remains on navy blue wave 2, following the completion of navy blue wave 1, indicating the market is presently in a retracement phase, moving briefly in opposition to the primary trend direction.

Currently, the wave structure places the EURUSD within gray wave C, part of the corrective movement of navy blue wave 2. This phase indicates the market may be close to ending its retracement, after which navy blue wave 3 is expected to begin, signaling a potential resumption of the main trend direction based on prevailing market conditions.

The conclusion of navy blue wave 1 highlights that an impulsive move has taken place, and the market is now in a pullback phase, marked by the ongoing development of navy blue wave 2. According to Elliott Wave theory, markets alternate between impulsive and corrective phases, where wave 2 functions as a corrective sequence following an initial impulsive wave.

The wave cancellation level for the current structure is set at 1.12136. If prices fall below this level, the current wave count will be invalidated, necessitating a revised market structure analysis.

Summary of EUR/USD day chart outlook

In summary, the EURUSD Day Chart remains in a corrective mode with navy blue wave 2 underway. Upon the completion of gray wave C, the market may transition to navy blue wave 3, marking a potential return to the primary trend. This wave structure is valid unless the price breaches 1.12136, which would nullify the current analysis.

EURUSD

EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Counter Trend.

Mode: Corrective.

Wave Structure: Navy Blue Wave 2.

Position: Gray Wave C.

Next lower degree direction: Navy Blue Wave 3.

Details: Navy blue wave 1 appears completed; navy blue wave 2 is now active.

Wave cancel level: 1.12136.

EUR/USD four-hour chart analysis summary

The EURUSD 4-hour chart’s Elliott Wave analysis indicates a counter-trend scenario, characterized by a corrective structure. The main wave under analysis is navy blue wave 2, which has commenced following the end of navy blue wave 1. The corrective mode implies a temporary reversal against the primary trend, indicating a pullback within the broader market movement.

Currently, the EURUSD is positioned within gray wave C, the final phase of navy blue wave 2, suggesting that the correction is near completion. Following gray wave C, the analysis anticipates the start of navy blue wave 3, which would mark a potential return to the impulsive direction once the correction ends.

The conclusion of navy blue wave 1 signifies that a major impulsive movement has occurred, and the market is now retracing in navy blue wave 2, a typical pullback phase in Elliott Wave theory. This phase serves as a pause before the main trend resumes, either upward or downward, depending on the development of wave 3.

The wave cancellation level is set at 1.12136. If the price dips below this threshold, it would invalidate the current wave count, indicating a possible shift in wave structure and necessitating a reevaluation of the market’s direction.

Summary of EUR/USD four-hour chart outlook

In summary, the EURUSD 4-hour chart remains in a corrective mode with navy blue wave 2 underway. Upon the completion of gray wave C, the onset of navy blue wave 3 is expected, signaling a potential continuation of the primary trend. The current wave structure remains valid unless the price drops below 1.12136, which would invalidate this analysis.

Chart

EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.