|

EUR/GBP Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

EUR/GBP Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Bearish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Orange Wave 3.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

  • Direction (next higher degree): Orange Wave 4.

  • Wave invalidation level: 0.83572.

Analysis overview

The EURGBP Elliott Wave Analysis for the daily chart examines the Euro (EUR) against the British Pound (GBP), confirming a bearish trend. The market is currently in an impulsive phase, indicating strong momentum in the downward direction.

The current wave structure is identified as Orange Wave 3, which forms part of a larger Navy Blue Wave 1, signaling a significant downward movement.

Wave structure breakdown

  • Orange Wave 2 (a corrective phase within Navy Blue Wave 1) appears completed, leading to the development of Orange Wave 3.

  • Orange Wave 3 is expected to continue driving the price further downward.

  • The next higher-degree wave is Orange Wave 4, which implies that after Orange Wave 3 completes, a corrective phase may follow.

Key level to watch

  • Wave Cancellation Invalidation Level: 0.83572

  • This threshold is critical—if the price moves above 0.83572, the current wave count is invalidated, potentially altering the bearish outlook.

Traders should monitor this level closely to confirm the validity of the ongoing downtrend.

Conclusion

The EURGBP daily chart analysis suggests a bearish trend with strong impulsive momentum.

  • The market is currently in Orange Wave 3 within Navy Blue Wave 1, signaling further downside potential.

  • The completion of Orange Wave 2 has set the stage for continued downward movement.

  • The invalid level at 0.83572 acts as a crucial marker for the continuation or possible reversal of the bearish trend.

  • The next phase, Orange Wave 4, is expected to bring a corrective phase once Orange Wave 3 completes.

This Elliott Wave Analysis provides traders with a clear framework for understanding current market dynamics and future price movements.

EURGBP

EUR/GBP daily chart

EUR/GBP Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Bearish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Gray Wave 3.

  • Position: Orange Wave 3.

  • Direction (next higher degree): Gray Wave 3 (Started).

  • Wave invalidation level: 0.83572.

Analysis overview

The EURGBP Elliott Wave Analysis for the 4-hour chart examines the Euro (EUR) against the British Pound (GBP), confirming a bearish trend. The market remains in an impulsive phase, signaling strong downward momentum.

The wave structure is identified as Gray Wave 3, forming part of a larger Orange Wave 3, indicating a significant downward movement in progress.

Wave structure breakdown

  • Gray Wave 2, a corrective phase within Orange Wave 3, appears completed, leading to the development of Gray Wave 3.

  • Gray Wave 3 is expected to continue driving prices lower.

  • The next higher-degree wave is Gray Wave 3, confirming that bearish momentum is likely to persist in the near term.

Key level to watch

  • Wave Cancellation Invalidation Level: 0.83572.

  • This level is critical—if the price moves above 0.83572, the current wave count is invalidated, potentially altering the bearish outlook.

Traders should monitor this level closely to confirm the validity of the ongoing downtrend.

Conclusion

The EURGBP 4-hour chart analysis suggests a bearish trend with strong impulsive momentum.

  • The market is currently in Gray Wave 3 of Orange Wave 3, signaling further downside potential.

  • The completion of Gray Wave 2 has set the stage for continued downward movement.

  • The invalid level at 0.83572 acts as a crucial marker for the continuation or possible reversal of the bearish trend.

  • The next phase, Gray Wave 3, is expected to drive the price lower, reinforcing bearish sentiment in the market.

This Elliott Wave Analysis provides traders with a clear framework for understanding current market dynamics and future price movements.

EURGBP

EUR/GBP four-hour chart

EUR/GBP Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).