Frank Walbaum
FX Strategies.Asia
Important news for the day
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Wed, 16th, 08:00 CET UK Consumer price index.
US Elections
In several states, early voting is underway, with Georgia seeing record-breaking participation—about double compared to 2020. In total over five million people have already voted, either by mail or in person at polling locations. The race is currently too close to call between the main candidates, making the outcome uncertain. After a previous court ruling, Trump successfully pushed for hand counting of votes. However, this decision was overturned just before voting began, meaning the votes will now be counted using traditional methods instead of by hand.
Market talk
The initial positive risk sentiment for the stock market had faded yesterday. Previously positive prices had been mostly eliminated and markets like the Dow Jones and Nasdaq index printed a bearish turnaround pattern. The S&P 500 ended in slightly better shape. The Chinese market also turned lower with potential higher volatility ahead. The Dollar on the other hand might continue to rise slightly but is nearing the 50- moving average on the weekly chart, which could act as resistance zone. Metals continue to push higher and Gold is trading close to the major breakout zone
Tendencies in the markets
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Equities correcting, USD stronger, cryptos positive, oil weak, metals positive, JPY weaker.
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GBP/USD trades around 1.2950 with eyes on tariffs, geopolitics
GBP/USD builds on Monday's modest gains and trades at around 1.2950 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The improving risk mood and dismal Consumer Confidence data from the US make it difficult for the USD to find demand and support the pair.
Gold extends recovery beyond $3,030 on broad USD weakness
Gold preserves its bullish momentum and trades above $3,030 on Tuesday. The broad-based US Dollar weakness on weak macroeconomic data releases help XAU/USD push higher as investors remain focused on geopolitical and tariff headlines.
Bitcoin stabilizes around $87,000 as it displays a classic beta response to traditional markets
Bitcoin stabilizes around $87,000 on Tuesday after extending a recovery over the past two days. A Crypto Finance report highlights that the crypto market followed the broader risk momentum, displaying a classic beta response to traditional markets.
Seven Fundamentals for the Week: Tariff news, fresh surveys, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge are eyed Premium
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