Ipek Ozkardeskaya
Swissquote Bank Ltd
Sentiment is better, but the news is not. The latest flash PMI readings from Japan to Europe and to the US showed a slowing global activity in June.
The slowing activity, and the call for a global recession started pressuring oil and commodity prices to the downside.
Norway delivered a bigger than expected 50bp hike, and Banxico rose by 75bp hike, the country’s biggest rate hike ever.
Plus, Moscow cuts the gas supply to Germany via Nord Stream 1, leading to another spike in the European natural gas futures.
The higher gas prices should keep the pressure high for oil, as although the prospects of demand are being cut, the production remains limited to the refining capacity.
European and US futures hint at a hopefully calm session before the weekly closing bell, and we don’t have much on today’s economic calendar.
In the FX, the US dollar hasn’t recorded a fresh high since about ten days, and the prospects of slowing US growth, the rising probability of recession, and the hawkish tone from other major central banks should prevent the greenback from gaining a fresh positive momentum.
This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
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