Elliott Wave analysis: USD/JPY making an intraday impulsive decline [Video]

Gregor Horvat Wavetraders

USDJPY came sharply to the downside at the end of 2023 on hawkish BoJ; they are now even saying that normalization can happen in 2024. Also Ueda said that policy change could involve an element of surprise which means that jpy pairs can be very volatile going into 2024. From an Elliott wave perspective, we expect a reversal as well, as pair stoped at a powerful 150-153 resistance area. In fact, we can see nice turn down in the last few trading days on 4h time frame, with price breaking below the channel support line so it appears that weakness is here as recovery from start of the year unfolded in three legs. Ideally, that was wave B corrective rise so there is plenty for room for more weakness into C wave. As such, be aware of more downside, especially after subwave four rally.

Another very important factor for bearish USDJPY are lower US yeilds, which are falling for the last two weeks, but dont forget on US CPI data today. This one can cause a new volatile moves.

I talked about this and more in my latest video.

Get Full Access To Our Premium Elliott Wave Analysis For 14 Days. Click here.

Author

Gregor Horvat

Wavetraders

Experience Grega is based in Slovenia and has been in the Forex market since 2003.

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.