The greenback snapped its recent losing streak and edged higher against majority of its peers on Thursday except the safe-haven jpy and chf as lack of progress in Ukraine-Russia peace talks triggered risk-aversion.
Reuters reported U.S. consumer spending slowed significantly in February, while price pressures continued to mount, with inflation posting its largest annual gain since the early 1980s.
The Commerce Department said on Thursday that consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, rose 0.2% last month. Data for January was revised higher to show outlays rebounding 2.7% instead of 2.1% as previously reported. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast consumer spending increasing 0.5%.
More expensive gasoline, rents and food are forcing households to cut back spending elsewhere. Gasoline prices soared in February and broke above $4 per gallon this month following Russia's invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24.
Versus the Japanese yen, although dollar edged up to session highs at 122.45 at Asian open, price then fell to 121.35 in European morning due to broad-based buying in jpy. The pair then staged a short-covering rebound to 122.22 in Europe before tumbling again to a 6-day low at 121.29 in New York.
The single currency briefly extended its recent ascent and hit a fresh 4-week high at 1.1184 in Asian morning, however, lack of follow-through buying triggered profit-taking and price tumbled to an intra-day low at 1.1061 in New York morning due partly to cross-selling of euro especially vs sterling.
The British pound remained under pressure and retreated to 1.3110 in Asia before recovering to 1.3147 in early European morning. Despite falling briefly to an intra-day low at 1.3107 in New York morning, price rallied to session highs at 1.3176 on cross-buying in sterling.
Data to be released on Friday:
Australia AIG manufacturing index, manufacturing PMI, Japan Tankan small non-manufacturing PMI, Tankan small manufacturing index, Tankan big non-manufacturing PMI, Tankan big manufacturing index, China Caixin manufacturing PMI, Swiss CPI, manufacturing PMI, France budget balance, Markit manufacturing PMI, Italy Markit manufacturing PMI, Germany Markit manufacturing PMI, EU Markit manufacturing PMI, HICP, U.K. Markit manufacturing PMI, U.S. non-farm payrolls, private payrolls, unemployment rate, average earnings, Markit manufacturing PMI, ISM manufacturing PMI, construction spending and Canada Markit manufacturing PMI.
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EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
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GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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