Last Friday’s US jobs report produced a mixed bag of messages. On the one side, the payrolls number came in softer than expected. On the other side, earnings came out hotter than expected. On net, despite some intraday volatility, there shouldn’t be much change to the Fed outlook.
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EUR/USD clings to strong gains above 1.1050 as US-China trade war deepens Premium
EUR/USD trades decisively higher on the day above 1.1050 on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) stays under persistent selling pressure on growing fears over a recession, as a result of the US trade war with China. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the March policy meeting.

GBP/USD holds above 1.2800 on broad USD weakness
GBP/USD stays in positive territory above 1.2800 in the American session on Wednesday. After China's decision to respond to the US tariffs by imposing additional 84% tariffs on US goods, the US Dollar remains under pressure and helps the pair hold its ground ahead of FOMC Minutes.

Gold extends rally to $3,050 area as safe-haven flows dominate markets
Gold preserves its bullish momentum and trades near $3,050 in the second half of the day. Further escalation in the trade conflict between the US and China force markets to remain risk-averse midweek, allowing the precious metal to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Fed Minutes to offer clues on rate cut outlook amid tariff uncertainty
The eagerly awaited minutes from the US Fed’s March 18-19 monetary policy meeting are set for release on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT. During the gathering, policymakers agreed to keep the Fed Funds Target Range (FFTR) unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%.

Tariff rollercoaster continues as China slapped with 104% levies
The reaction in currencies has not been as predictable. The clear winners so far remain the safe-haven Japanese yen and Swiss franc, no surprises there, while the euro has also emerged as a quasi-safe-haven given its high liquid status.

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