|

Deflation concerns remain regarding China, RBA quarterly statement due on Friday

Asia Market Update: Deflation concerns remain regarding China; RBA quarterly statement due on Fri; Fed Chair Powell to speak again.

General trend

- Equities trade mixed.

- Japan corporate earnings remain in focus [including Honda, Nissan, Rakuten, Sony and SoftBank Group].

Headlines/economic data

Australia/New Zealand

- ASX 200 opens +0.1% at 7,009.

-Chevron: Australia unit: Says working to return to full LNG production at Gorgon gas facility following electrical incident.

-New Zealand sells total NZ$500M vs. NZ$500M indicated in 2030, 2032 and 2037 bonds.

China/Hong Kong

-Hang Seng opens flat at 17,553.

-Shanghai Composite opens -0.2% at 3,047.

-CHINA OCT CPI M/M: -0.1% V 0.2% PRIOR; Y/Y: -0.2% V -0.1%E [largest y/y decline since Jul]; PPI Y/Y: -2.6% v -2.7%e.

-Follow Up: US Treasury Sec Yellen to meet with He Lifeng at 1:15 PM EST; the officials will meet again at 5 PM ET - press [**Reminder Nov 6th: (US) Treasury Sec Yellen said to meet China Vice Premier in San Francisco on Nov 9-10th; Pres Biden and China Pres Xi are expected to meet next week during the APEC summit - press].

-US and China said to be nearing restart of military to military communications - press.

-China Civil Aviation Regulator (CAAC): Direct passenger flights between China and the US will rise to 70 flights per week.

-(US) Some Congressmen urge Biden Admin to raise tariffs on Chinese vehicles - press.

-China PCA: Oct Retail Passenger Vehicle Sales Y/Y: 10.2% v 5.0% prior.

- China PBoC Dep Gov Xuan Changneng: To step up economic dialogue with other countries.

-China Commerce Ministry (MOFCOM): China to stabilize foreign firms' confidence in the country.

-China Commerce Ministry (MOFCOM): To re-investigate anti-dumping duties case related to stainless steel imported from the EU, Japan, South Korea and Indonesia; specifically relates to stainless steel billets, hot-rolled sheets and coils.

-China State Admin of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) reiterates to keep yuan rate reasonable and at a balanced level.

Japan

- Nikkei 225 opens +0.5% at 32,316.

-BOJ OCT SUMMARY OF OPINIONS: The decision at this MPM to increase the flexibility in the conduct of yield curve control will lead to improving its resilience through reducing the chance of speculative moves.

-BOJ Gov Ueda: Reiterates vital to confirm virtuous wage-inflation cycle.

-Former BOJ official Maeda: BOJ may end negative interest rate policy in Jan, keep raising short-term rates in stages - financial press.

- JAPAN SELLS ¥900B IN 1.800% 30-YEAR BONDS: AVG YIELD: 1.7410%; BID-TO-COVER: 3.60X.

-Follow Up: Japan calendar JGB issuance expected to remain the same after extra budget - Press.

-Japan Sept Current Account: ¥2.7T v ¥2.978Te.

- Japan Oct Bank Lending Y/Y: 2.8% v 2.9% prior.

-Oct Tokyo Avg Office Vacancies: 6.1% v 6.2% prior.

-Japan releases weekly flows data [period ended Nov 3rd]: Foreign buying of Japan equities: ¥313.5B v +¥10.6B prior ; Japan buying of foreign bonds: -¥388.4B v +¥238.5B prior; Foreign buying of Japan bonds: ¥512.0B v -¥1.7T prior.

-Japan PM Kishida will not dissolve the lower house this year - Japanese press.

Korea

-Kospi opens +0.2% at 2,425.

-KDI [state think tank]: Raises South Korea 2023 and 2024 avg inflation forecasts, trims GDP forecasts.

Other Asia

-Philippines Q3 GDP Q/Q: 3.3% v 1.9%e; Y/Y: 5.9% v 4.7%e.

-Taiwan Central Bank (CBC): Need time to resolve large trade surplus with the US; rate hike cycle may not have ended yet.

North America

-Fed Chair Powell does not comment on monetary policy or economic outlook in prepared remarks; Mentions forecast models.

-Fed's Harker (voter): Reiterates now is time to take stock of past rate hikes' impact.

-(US) TREASURY'S $40B 10-YEAR NOTE AUCTION DRAWS 4.519% V 3.999% PRIOR; BID-TO-COVER RATIO: 2.45 V 2.56 PRIOR AND 2.48 OVER THE LAST 4 AUCTIONS.

-(US) Hollywood Studios said to reach tentative new contract agreement with actors; full details of the agreement not yet provided - Press.

Europe

-Airbus: Affirms FY23 Adj EBIT.

-(IL) Hamas would exchange hostages for brief pause in fighting - NYT.

-US strikes Iran weapons facility in Syria - Washington Post.

-(UK) Oct RICS House Price Balance: -63% v -69% prior.

-(RU) Russia said to be discussing lifting ban on 'some gasoline exports' - press.

Levels as of 00:20 ET

- Nikkei 225, +1.6%, ASX 200 +0.3% , Hang Seng -0.2%; Shanghai Composite flat ; Kospi +0.6%.

- Equity S&P500 Futures: -0.1%; Nasdaq100 -0.1%, Dax +0.1%; FTSE100 +0.1%.

- EUR 1.0715-1.0702 ; JPY 151.02-150.82 ; AUD 0.6417-0.6400 ;NZD 0.5931-0.5906.

- Gold -0.2% at $1,953/oz; Crude Oil +0.2% at $75.44/brl; Copper -0.3% at $3.6258/lb.

Author

TradeTheNews.com Staff

TradeTheNews.com Staff

TradeTheNews.com

Trade The News is the active trader’s most trusted source for live, real-time breaking financial news and analysis.

More from TradeTheNews.com Staff
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 amid trading lull, awaits Fed Minutes

EUR/USD trades around a flatline below 1.1800 in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any trading impetus as the US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Fed's December Meeting Minutes release, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD retakes 1.3500 despite the year-end grind

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and retakes 1.3500 on Tuesday as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Despite the latest uptick, the pair is unlikely to see further progress due to the year-end holiday volumes.

Gold holds the bounce on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold holds the rebound near $4,350 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was Gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).