|

Currency market: FX next week

EUR/USD weekly target at 0.9829 from 0.9678 achieved highs at 0.9807 for +129 pips. Actual target today must break 0.9817 then 0.9829.

Next week EUR/USD ranges from 0.9716 to 0.9860 and the same old weekly EUR/USD stuck in the same positions.

DXY target at 113.88 slated for next week traded yesterday at 113.95 highs. Next week's target is located at 114.39. Future targets are located every 44 pips starting from 114.83, 115.27 and 115.72. Count 44 pips below and bottom targets are known.

EUR/USD currently trades as DXY perfect opposite as targets below are located every 44 pips. DXY 115.72 translates as EUR/USD 0.9400. Both today are located at furthest extremes. EUR averages are rising while DXY averages are falling.

JPY Cross Pairs

GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY trade at extreme overbought while nothing special exists to AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY and CAD/JPY. For GBP/JPY to normalize, target is located at 163.00's and 162.00's.

AUD/USD trades massively oversold and targets easily low 0.6400's to 0.6500's. NZD/USD exists and trades at the inclination of EUR and GBP.

Both EUR/AUD and GBP/AUD trade deeply overbought and require about 200 pips lower to trade correctly.

GBP/USD targets in the vicinity of 1.1080 and GBP/CHF to 1.0900's. GBP/CHF trades as leader currency to AUD/CHF, CAD/CHF, EUR/CHF and NZD/CHF as nothing special exists to CHF except GBP/CHF.

EUR/CAD short next week remains the plan although a higher price would ensure a far better trade while GBP/CAD may sit last on the GBP trade rankings due to a horrible position.

USD/JPY trades overbought and ranges from 146.00's to 148.00's. USD/CHF trades most overbought to USD/JPY and USD/CAD.

SPX 500 at the 5 year average is located at 3367.25. SPX traded 3400 lows yesterday and dangerously close to the 5 year average. A break of the 5 year average then much lower for SPX.

USD/CNY trades safely above 6.9710. EM currencies trade fairly neutral as nothing exciting exists. USD/HUF, USD/ZAR and USD/MYR stand out as overbought while USD/RON trades neutral. USD/BRL trades neutral.

Neutral to the Bulgarian Lev, USD/BGN

Author

Brian Twomey

Brian Twomey

Brian's Investment

Brian Twomey is an independent trader and a prolific writer on trading, having authored over sixty articles in Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities and Investopedia.

More from Brian Twomey
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.