USD/JPY's 5 vital numbers for Friday's NFP as follows: 112.66, 112.81, 112.92, 113.51 and 113.82
Actual 112.91 to 113.32 or 41 pips. profit was earned on shorts. The trades was accomplished in 2 stages. because the trade was a middle range trade as all NFP releases are turning out to be reality.
EUR/USD 5 vital numbers for Friday's NFP: 1.1239, 1.1254, 1.1267, 1.1324 and 1.1353.
Actual 1.1291 to 1.1332 or 41 pips and the same as USD/JPY. Profit was earned on longs But from middle range and completed in 2 stages.
Together 1.1291 to 1.1332 and 112.91 to 113.32. The exact same only the opposite direction movements for trades at 41 pips.
Middle range is the same concept as saying neutral but a neutral price must travel to a location. The point is location. As seen from day trades, currency market prices entered yet another period of slowdown to price movements.
From known bottoms to tops at the start of every trade, price movements adjusted again to a slower price speed and shorter ranges from pre 2016 as wider ranges and faster price speeds. The slowdown was always coming upon us by central bank design but who knew it would meet to the degree of today's prices.
NFP miss at 200,000 and 40 pips is the first sign to a problem. A traditional NFP miss by 50,000 to its historic 1939 range would trade far wider ranges than 40 pips. NZD/USD traded 400 pips last month or 13 ish pips per day. NZD/USD's big break at 0.6845 offered 105 pips to the downside in 7 days and barely 15 pips per day.
Strategies now require another adjustment and further adjustments until the current 50 year period ends for all trading. Its a matter of time when this all ends. My speculation was next period markets trade by the IMF's SDR rate. if so, markets are guaranteed to trade 10 point daily ranges as the 1960's.
Fed funds for the past year closed daily averages from 0.09 to 0.07. Europe's Eonia to effect EUR/USD began the year at -0.481, began December at -0.489 and traded Friday at -0.490.
The opposite to Eonia is the STIR rate to currently replace Eonia. STIR traded 2 points Friday while Fed Funds traded 6 points as its extreme ranges.
The SOFR rate as the replacement to the 90 day Libor rate connected to Eurodollars trades 9 points to its extreme. Eurodollars so far today traded 99.8000 to 99.7975 yet trading overall 2 point daily ranges. And this includes current December Futures contracts and all contracts for 2022.
The slowdown is by interest rate design as central banks are killing off actively traded markets.
EUR/USD at current 1.1287. For the larger averages, EUR/USD trades a big fat neutral and targets lower 1.1100's or 1.1700's and easily.
JPY cross pairs for the larger averages trade another big fat neutral. GBP/JPY is the best of JPY cross pairs particularly at +60 correlation to GBP/USD. NZD/JPY stand clear.
NZD/USD problem over the past month is again a fat neutral.
AUD/USD and AUD cross pairs is the best of the non USD pairs to trade while USD/CAD and USD/JPY are best trades for USD pairs.
EUR/USD 5 vital numbers for today 1.1239, 1.1254, 1.1267, 1.1311 and 1.1353.
USD/JPY 5 vital numbers today 112.45, 112.59, 112.73, 113.31 and 113.59.
A EUR/USD Vs USD/JPY breakout would trade EUR/USD to 1.1100's and USD/JPY to 114.00's. Then comes long and short reversals.
Trading currencies and other financial instruments carries a degree of loss and possible loss of entire investments. Please managed your own risks, stop loss, and margins requirements.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD trades at yearly lows below 1.0500 ahead of PMI data
EUR/USD stays on the back foot and trades at its lowest level since October 2023 below 1.0500 early Friday, pressured by persistent USD strength. Investors await Manufacturing and Services PMI surveys from the Eurozone, Germany and the US.
GBP/USD falls to six-month lows below 1.2600, eyes on key data releases
GBP/USD extends its losses for the third successive session and trades at a fresh fix-month low below 1.2600. This downside is attributed to the stronger US Dollar (USD) as traders continue to evaluate the Fed's policy outlook following latest data releases and Fedspeak.
Gold rises toward $2,700, hits two-week top
Gold continues to attract haven flows for the fifth consecutive day and rises toward $2,700. XAU/USD continues to benefit from risk-aversion amid intensifying Russia-Ukraine conflict. Investors keep a close eye on geopolitics while waiting for PMI data releases.
Ripple surges to a new yearly high; XRP bulls aim for three-year high of $1.96
Ripple extends its gains by around 10% on Friday, reaching a new year-to-date high of $1.43 and hitting levels not seen since mid-May 2021. The main reasons behind the rally are the announcement that the US SEC's Chair Gary Gensler will resign and the launch in Europe of an XRP ETP by asset management company WisdomTree.
A new horizon: The economic outlook in a new leadership and policy era
The economic aftershocks of the COVID pandemic, which have dominated the economic landscape over the past few years, are steadily dissipating. These pandemic-induced economic effects are set to be largely supplanted by economic policy changes that are on the horizon in the United States.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.