EUR/USD: losing charm around 1.3400


EUR/USD Current price: 1.3407

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Dollar bulls grew substantially over the past few days, the largest over a year according to latest reports, with bearish sentiment higher for the EUR, which was probably the main reason of dollar short squeeze on Friday: dollar needs to go back, to take a better jump. As a new week starts, the EUR/USD trades a few pips below last one close, hovering around the 1.3400 level and with the short term picture pointing for a downward move: the hourly chart shows indicators easing from overbought readings towards their midlines, albeit moving averages are all below current price, suggesting further slides are required to confirm a move lower. In the 4 hours chart momentum heads higher as price moves lower, drawing the beginning of a bearish divergence, also yet to be confirmed. The 1.3440 area is key to the upside, as only above it the pair could advance higher, while a clear break below 1.3380 should trigger the expected downward continuation.

Support levels: 1.3370 1.3335 1.3295 

Resistance levels: 1.3450 1.3475 1.3500

EUR/JPY Current price: 136.90

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Yen posted a strong comeback last Friday all across the board, following the recovery in indexes after a long week of losses. As for the EUR/JPY the pair has started the week gapping up to 137.00, but quickly easing some from the level and filling that gap. The hourly chart shows indicators looking slightly exhausted in overbought levels as price struggles around a still bearish 100 SMA. In the 4 hours chart however, indicators maintain a strong upward tone, with 100 SMA around the critical figure. A daily high from last week at 1.3711 is the level to overcome to confirm an upward extension, yet if price falls back above 136.60,  the risk will remain to the downside this Monday.

Support levels: 136.60 136.20 135.80
Resistance levels: 137.10 137.50 137.90

GBP/USD Current price: 1.6774

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The GBP/USD extends its slide, still unable to find a bottom. During the upcoming days, UK Inflation Report Hearings, Mark Carney and GDP data may well define it current bearish trend is ready to extend in term, expecting therefore some range trading ahead of the news. Anyway, the short term picture is quite bearish, with the 1 hour chart showing momentum heading south in negative territory, RSI flat around 30 and the 20 SMA heading lower above current price. In the 4 hours chart technical readings are also biased lower, with a price acceleration below 1.6770 pointing for a test of 1.6690/1.6700 strong static support level.

Support levels: 1.6770 1.6730 1.6695

Resistance levels: 1.6820 1.6860 1.6895 

USD/JPY Current price: 102.10

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Standing above the 102.00 mark, the USD/JPY has recovered nicely by the end of last week, albeit remains trading in tight, familiar ranges. Short term, the outlook is mild bullish, with indicators strongly up in positive territory, but 100 SMA with a strong bearish slope above current price, acting as dynamic resistance in the 102.30 price zone. In the 4 hours chart indicators bounced strongly from oversold levels and approach their midlines, still below them, reinforcing the need of a break higher to confirm more advances. 

Support levels: 101.95 101.60 101.20 

Resistance levels: 102.35 102.80 103.10

AUD/USD Current price: 0.9276

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Australian dollar maintains a weak stance against the greenback, with the pair trading below the 0.9300 figure. The hourly chart shows indicators turning south above their midlines and price holding above a flat 20 SMA, limiting the downside at the moment. In the 4 hours chart however technical readings present a clearer bearish tone, suggesting a new leg lower is still possible. Critical support stands at 0.9260 with a break below it anticipating a probable test of the 0.9180/0.9200 price zone.

Support levels: 0.9260 0.9220 0.9180

Resistance levels: 0.9290 .9330 0.9370 

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