|

Commodity prices score biggest weekly gain since 1960 – What’s next [Video]

Commodity prices across the board have made an explosive start to the month – registering their biggest back-to-back weekly gains on record since 1960.

So far this quarter, a total 27 Commodities ranging from the metals, energies to agriculture have tallied up astronomical double-digit single day gains – not once, not twice, but on multiple occasions – outperforming every other asset class out there.

Just take last week for example – every possible commodity imaginable from Aluminium, Copper, Palladium, Platinum, Gold, Silver, Lumber, Zinc, Crude Oil to Natural Gas prices surged following Thursday’s U.S Consumer Price Inflation data – with a long-list chalking up spectacular gains of 10% or higher – literally in a single day!

The exact same thing happened in the previous week, following the U.S employment report. And yes, you guessed it – the week before that too following the Bank of Japan's currency intervention.

As a result, there’s really nothing historical you can point to for what’s going on in markets today. We are routinely seeing Commodities across the sector whip up spectacular back to back gains of 10% or higher, almost on a weekly basis – fuelling an era of enormous wealth creation like we have never seen before.

Looking ahead, more big moves could be on the horizon as traders shift their attention to U.S Producer Price Inflation data and the UK Autumn Statement.

Last week's cooler-than-expected Consumer Price Inflation data offered some relief to the Fed, potentially indicating that October could be the start of a disinflationary trend that lasts through next year.

The headline Consumer Price Index rose less than expected – boosting expectations that supersize rate hikes are likely now in the rear view mirror. This week’s hotly anticipated U.S Producer Price Inflation reading will either boost or dampen expectations of a possible Fed “pivot” away from an aggressive interest rate hikes.

Elsewhere, this week all eyes will be on the UK Autumn Statement. After the disastrous “mini-budget” in September, which subsequently forced The Bank of England to revert back to unprecedented “Quantitative Easing” measures – this week’s Autumn Statement is already gearing up to be a major market-moving event, that traders will not want to miss.

Despite short-term UK borrowing costs stabilising since the market meltdown seen in late September, the Chancellor will need to present plans to address the 55 billion pound “black hole” in Government finances.

Should the Chancellor's fiscal plan fail to instil confidence, then we could be on for a repeat of September announcement, which sent a long-list of commodities surging to multi-month highs – registering their biggest one-day move this year.

Extraordinary times create extraordinary opportunities and right now, as traders we are amidst “one of the greatest eras of wealth creation the world has seen”. My advice to you is, do not waste this opportunity!

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD softens to near 1.3600 as BoE hints further rate cuts

The GBP/USD pair loses ground to near 1.3610 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Pound Sterling softens against the Greenback amid growing expectations of the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut. Traders will take more cues from the Fedspeak later on Monday.

Gold holds gains near $5,000 as China's gold buying drives demand

Gold price clings to the latest uptick near $5,000 in Asian trading on Monday. The precious metal holds its recovery amid a weaker US Dollar and rising demand from the Chinese central bank. The delayed release of the US employment report for January will be in the spotlight later this week.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: The worst may be behind us

Bitcoin price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.

Weekly column: Saturn-Neptune and the end of the Dollar’s 15-year bull cycle

Tariffs are not only inflationary for a nation but also risk undermining the trust and credibility that go hand in hand with the responsibility of being the leading nation in the free world and controlling the world’s reserve currency.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.