Elliott Wave Analysis of the Commodity Market highlights a promising outlook for cryptocurrencies, with potential uptrends in gold and silver stocks (non-leveraged). Base metals, including URA, are exhibiting continued strength. Crude oil is poised for an upward shift from its Wave IV, as indicated by the early movements in XOM. Meanwhile, the DXY, TLT Bonds, and US 10-year yields await further price action to confirm directional shifts.
Commodity Market Elliott Wave Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) ETH/USD / Dogecoin / GBTC, TLT Bonds, US 10 Yr. Yields, USD/ DXY, Gold, Silver, Copper, Uranium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas
Video Chapters
00:00 Bitcoin (BTC) ETH/USD / Dogecoin / GBTC
03:04 US Dollar Index, DXY / TLT Bonds. US Gov Bonds 10 Yr Yields
06:50 Precious Metals: Spot Gold XAU /GDX ETF / US Spot Silver XAG
13:13 Base Metals:Lithium, PLL, Uranium URA ETF / Copper
24:20 Energy:XOM / Crude Oil WTI OIL / Natural Gas NG
28:24 End
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EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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