|

Cocoa prices top all-time record highs and this could just be the beginning [Video]

Another week and another Commodity skyrockets to all-time record highs. That’s one of the most lucrative trends of the current Commodities Supercycle, that we find ourselves in right now! 

A long list of the world’s most powerful Wall Street banks have described the current economic climate as “The Golden Age of Trading”. 

This comes as no surprise, given today's highly macro-driven backdrop is fuelling one of the greatest wealth creation opportunities the world has ever seen.

Right now there is one Commodity that is smashing records almost on a daily basis. 

And that’s Cocoa. 

Cocoa prices soared over 21% this week, registering a new all-time high of $6,030 per tonne –surpassing their previous peak set in 1977 – amid the impact of rising shipping costs due to disruptions in the Red Sea and the consequences of the global climate change crisis. 

Cocoa prices are now up 40% since the start of this year and have more than doubled over the past 12-months. 

According to analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence – the world is currently experiencing one of the strongest El Nino climate events of the last 50 years. This natural phenomenon occurs when tropical eastern Pacific sea surface temperatures rise at least 0.5 degrees above their long-term average. 

This can have disastrous consequences on crops as result of prolonged dry spells and droughts, impacting production. Last year, this phenomenon caused 2023 to be the hottest year on record. Now, 2024 could well be poised to overtake that record. 

However, here's where things really start to get interesting. 

Last year, El Nino weather conditions in the world's top Cocoa producing countries pushed the global Cocoa market into a third year of deficit for the 2023/24 season. 

Conclusive evidence shows a major crisis is underway in the Cocoa sector and any kind of surplus that might have existed in the sector has now gone. But that's just one bullish tailwind. 

Elsewhere, the Impact of shipping disruptions in the Red Sea is acting as a further bullish tailwind due to surging freight costs and longer-than-usual travel times. The longer the Red Sea crisis goes on – the higher prices will go – inevitably opening the door to a major supply squeeze. 

Whichever way you look at it, one thing is clear. Right now we have crisis on top of crisis, which as traders know – translates to opportunity on top of opportunity. While Commodities certainly don’t need a crisis to move higher, they definitely love a crisis”

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:
 

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold builds on previous week's gains, approaches $4,350

Gold preserves its bullish momentum after rising more than 2% last week and climbs toward $4,350 on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside as the US Dollar remains on the back foot on growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy outlook next year.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.