|premium|

CFTC Positioning Report: USD longs plummet to yearly lows

These are the highlights of the CFTC Positioning Report for the week ending March 18:

  • Speculators trimmed their net longs in the US Dollar to nearly 7.2K contracts, the lowest level so far this year. The period covered the run up to the Fed's interest rate decision, amid ongoing uncertainty over US tariffs and rising concerns about the US economy. The US Dollar Index (DXY) retreated to levels last seen in mid-October 2024 around 103.20, nearly retracing the so-called "Trump trade" (the rally from October to mid-January).
  • Non-commercial players turned net longs in the CBOE VIX index (aka “the panic index”) for the first time sin late October 2024, with around 6.2K contracts. The index, in the period, receded from yearly peaks past the 29 mark to levels below 22.
  • Speculative net longs in the Euro rose for the second week in a row, this time surging to the vicinity of 60K contracts for the first time since late September 2024. Commercial player (hedge funds) remained net shorts on the single currency for the fourth straight week, although contracts rose to multi-month highs around 92.4K. EUR/USD set aside a knee-jerk to the vicinity of the 1.0800 region to advance to new 2025 peaks past the 1.0950 level.
  • The constructive scenario for gold remained firmly in place, as non-commercial net longs rose to a three-week high of around 258K contracts. The precious metal’s climb above the psychological $3,000 mark for the first time was fuelled by ongoing uncertainty over US trade policy, concerns about a possible US recession, and expectations of further easing by the Federal Reserve. Moreover, this uptick in the yellow metal was accompanied by a rise in open interest.

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD softens to near 1.3600 as BoE hints further rate cuts

The GBP/USD pair loses ground to near 1.3610 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Pound Sterling softens against the Greenback amid growing expectations of the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut. Traders will take more cues from the Fedspeak later on Monday.

Gold eyes acceptance above $5,000, kicking off a big week

Gold is consolidating the latest uptick at around the $5,000 mark, with buyers gathering pace for a sustained uptrend as a critical week kicks off. All eyes remain on the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data from the United States due on Wednesday and Friday, respectively.

Top Crypto Gainers: Aster, Decred, and Kaspa rise as selling pressure wanes

Altcoins such as Aster, Decred, and Kaspa are leading the broader cryptocurrency market recovery over the last 24 hours, as Bitcoin holds above $70,000 on Monday, up from the $60,000 dip on Thursday.

Weekly column: Saturn-Neptune and the end of the Dollar’s 15-year bull cycle

Tariffs are not only inflationary for a nation but also risk undermining the trust and credibility that go hand in hand with the responsibility of being the leading nation in the free world and controlling the world’s reserve currency.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.