|

Bullish breakthrough: GBP/USD sets sights higher after surpassing key threshold

The GBPUSD pair closed last Friday on a high note, showcasing a substantial rise in bullish momentum by breaking through and holding above the 1.2827 threshold. This move has heightened expectations for a sustained upward trajectory in the short term and intraday trading sessions. The breakthrough reinforces the bullish outlook and sets the stage for the currency pair to target higher resistance levels in the forthcoming period. Delving into the technical nuances, it becomes essential to keep an eye on pivotal support and resistance levels that will shape the pair's path ahead.

Chart

Technical analysis

Current Status: The GBPUSD pair ended the last trading session on a strong positive note, having breached the 1.2827 level and closed above it. This move indicates a strong bullish sentiment among traders and sets the stage for potential further gains.

Next Targets: The immediate bullish targets are set at 1.2915, extending up to the 1.3000 level. These targets are based on the current momentum and the expectation of continued bullish behavior in the near term.

Key Support Level: The 1.2827 level now serves as a critical support. The pair's ability to hold above this level is essential for the continuation of the current bullish trend. This level should be closely monitored for any signs of weakness.

Bearish Scenario: A break below the 1.2827 support level would invalidate the immediate bullish outlook and could trigger a bearish correction, with the price potentially heading to test the 1.2725 level. This scenario would necessitate a reassessment of the current trading strategy.

Expected Trading Range: The trading range for today is anticipated to be between 1.2780 support and 1.2930 resistance, suggesting volatility within this range.

Trend Forecast: The overall trend is bullish, indicating that buying opportunities may present themselves as long as the price remains above the key support level.

Trading plan

Entry Point: Consider entering a long position if the price remains above the 1.2827 support level, especially if it shows signs of bouncing from this level or consolidating above it.

Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly below the 1.2827 level to protect against potential bearish reversals. A reasonable buffer could be around 1.2800 to account for short-term volatility.

Take Profit Targets: Set the first take profit target at 1.2915. If the bullish momentum continues, consider holding a portion of the position to target 1.3000. Adjust take profit levels based on market dynamics and resistance encountered.

Risk Management: Ensure proper risk management by risking only a small percentage of your trading capital on this trade. Consider the size of your position carefully to manage the risk effectively.

Monitoring: Keep an eye on any significant news or economic events that could impact GBPUSD trading. Be prepared to adjust your trading plan based on new information and market conditions.

Bearish Scenario Planning: If the price breaks below 1.2827, reconsider your long position and be prepared to either exit or take a short position towards 1.2725, with appropriate stop loss and take profit levels.

This trading plan and technical analysis are based on current market conditions and trends. Always conduct your analysis and consider multiple sources before executing any trade.

Author

Usman Ahmed

Usman Ahmed is a currency trader and financial market analyst with more than a decade of active trading experience.

More from Usman Ahmed
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.