Monica Kingsley
Monicakingsley
S&P 500 keepts in the tight range of late, well below the low 5,800s and above 5,735. Some of the bigger names are holding up, but having XLY and XLP go down by the same percentage amount yesterday, is food for thought. I can‘t chalk it all down to rotations – more seems to be at play, and serious capital won‘t be employed before non-farm payrolls are out of the way tomorrow.
The expectations into the figure release look to be slightly on the optimistic side – yet, what do we see before Friday in the bond market? Compare that to NVDA (mixed picture as the end of the session was marked by selling), yet risk-on clues are offered elsewhere. So, will we get unemployment claims tame, in line with Challenger job cuts below expectations? That would line up well with the still really resilient US economy.
All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.
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EUR/USD extends slide toward 1.1000 on broad USD strength
EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades at a fresh multi-week low below 1.1050 on Thursday. The upbeat ISM Services PMI data for September boosts the US Dollar, while rising bets for an ECB rate cut in October undermine the Euro.
GBP/USD tests multi-week lows near 1.3100 after Bailey's dovish remarks
GBP/USD loses more than 1% and trades at around 1.3100, pressured by dovish comments from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, who said that the central bank could become 'more activist' on rate cuts if inflation eases. On the other hand, the USD benefits from strong PMI data.
Gold struggles to gain traction, trades below $2,650
Gold oscillates in a tight range below $2,650 after bets fade that the Fed will continue slashing interest rates aggressively. Although XAU/USD finds support from increasing geopolitical risks, the broad USD strength doesn't allow the pair to stage a rebound.
Bitcoin stabilizes at crucial support after major crash
Bitcoin (BTC) trades slightly down on Thursday, after declining over 7% this week, and holds near a crucial support level; a sustained close below this threshold could signal further declines ahead.
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures
The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.
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