The AUD/USD pair is attempting a recovery toward 0.6681, though the prospects seem uncertain as the pair remains near a six-week low. The strengthening of the US dollar and the rise in US Treasury yields, driven by expectations of a confident victory for Donald Trump in the upcoming US presidential election, are weighing heavily on the Australian dollar.
Despite ongoing expectations for interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in November and December, signs of stability in the US economy further bolster the US dollar. However, the market is tempering its expectations for further monetary easing next year.
On the domestic front, Australia's recent labour market data was positive. September figures showed a job increase of 64.1k, significantly above the forecasted 25.0k. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%. Investors are now looking forward to upcoming PMI data, which could provide further insights into the health of Australia's economy.
Despite these positive domestic indicators, China's influence remains a critical factor for the Australian dollar, given its role as Australia's primary trading partner. The market has deemed recent stimulus measures in China insufficient, adding to the challenges for the AUD.
Technical analysis of AUD/USD
The AUD/USD is downward towards the target level of 0.6636. Upon reaching this target, the market may form a new consolidation range at these lows. If an upward breakout occurs, a correction towards 0.6790 might be considered. The MACD indicator supports this scenario, with its signal line below zero and poised for potential growth, suggesting a possible shift in momentum.
On the hourly chart, AUD/USD has completed a downward wave to 0.6650, followed by a correction to 0.6690. Another downward movement towards 0.6636 is anticipated today. A subsequent growth wave towards 0.6722 may develop if this level is reached. The Stochastic oscillator backs this outlook, with its signal line currently above 80 but expected to descend sharply towards 20, indicating the potential for further downward movement before any recovery.
Before you enter foreign exchange and stock markets, you have to remember that trading currencies and other investment products is trading in nature and always involves a considerable risk. As a result of various financial fluctuations, you may not only significantly increase your capital, but also lose it completely. Therefore, our clients have to assure RoboForex that they understand all the possible consequences of such risks, they know all the specifics, rules and regulations governing the use of investment products, including corporate events, resulting in the change of underlying assets. Client understands that there are special risks and features that affect prices, exchange rates and investment products.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to strong gains above 1.1050 as US-China trade war deepens Premium
EUR/USD trades decisively higher on the day above 1.1050 on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) stays under persistent selling pressure on growing fears over a recession, as a result of the US trade war with China. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the March policy meeting.

GBP/USD holds above 1.2800 on broad USD weakness
GBP/USD stays in positive territory above 1.2800 in the American session on Wednesday. After China's decision to respond to the US tariffs by imposing additional 84% tariffs on US goods, the US Dollar remains under pressure and helps the pair hold its ground ahead of FOMC Minutes.

Gold extends rally to $3,050 area as safe-haven flows dominate markets
Gold preserves its bullish momentum and trades near $3,050 in the second half of the day. Further escalation in the trade conflict between the US and China force markets to remain risk-averse midweek, allowing the precious metal to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Top 3 gainers NEO, Plume and Story: NEO surges despite Trump's tariff firestorm as investors succumb to extreme fear
Cryptocurrencies are enduring progressive market carnage from the US President Donald Trump administration's incessant tariffs on its trade partners, with some selected altcoins like NEO, Plume and Story (IP) leading the bullish brigade on Wednesday.

Tariff rollercoaster continues as China slapped with 104% levies
The reaction in currencies has not been as predictable. The clear winners so far remain the safe-haven Japanese yen and Swiss franc, no surprises there, while the euro has also emerged as a quasi-safe-haven given its high liquid status.

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.