|

AUD/USD outlook: Jumps on higher than expected Australian inflation

AUD/USD

Australian dollar rose 0.6% in early Wednesday, lifted by higher than expected inflation (May 4.0% vs 3.6% in April and 3.8% f/c), which hit the highest in six months.

Fresh rise in consumer prices adds to RBA’s hawkish stance, with jump in bets for August rate hike making the Aussie dollar more attractive.

Near-term action remains underpinned by rising and thickening daily Ichimoku cloud, Ma’s in bullish setup and 14-d momentum ascending above the centreline.

Fresh bulls probe again through pivotal Fibo barrier at 0.6676 (61.8% of 0.6871/0.6362) where a number of attacks in past three weeks failed and guards key barriers at 0.6691/94 (2024 peaks), break of which to signal continuation of larger uptrend from 0.6362 (2024 low).

Initial supports lay at 0.6646/43 (converging 10/20DMA’s) and 0.6626 (June 26 low) guarding daily cloud top (0.6592).

Res: 0.6694; 0.6714; 0.6728; 0.6750.
Sup: 0.6653; 0.6626; 0.6616; 0.6592.

AUDUSD

Interested in AUD/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 0.6706
    2. R2 0.6689
    3. R1 0.6668
  1. PP 0.6652
    1. S1 0.6631
    2. S2 0.6614
    3. S3 0.6593

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1900 as traders eye US data

EUR/USD eases to near 1.1900 in Tuesday's European trading hours, snapping the two-day winning streak. Markets turn cautious, lifting the haven demand for the US Dollar ahead of the release of key US economic data, including Retail Sales and ADP Employment Change 4-week average.

GBP/USD stays in the red below 1.3700 on renewed USD demand

GBP/USD trades on a weaker note below 1.3700 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair faces challenges due to renewed US Dollar demand, UK political risks and rising expectations of a March Bank of England rate cut. The immediate focus is now on the US Retail Sales data. 

Gold sticks to modest losses above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses through the first half of the European session, though it holds comfortably above the $5,000 psychological mark and the daily swing low. The outcome of Japan's snap election on Sunday removes political uncertainty, which along with signs of easing tensions in the Middle East, remains supportive of the upbeat market mood. This turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the safe-haven precious metal.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.

Follow the money, what USD/JPY in Tokyo is really telling you

Over the past two Tokyo sessions, this has not been a rate story. Not even close. Interest rate differentials have been spectators, not drivers. What has moved USD/JPY in local hours has been flow and flow alone.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.