AUD/USD outlook: Falls further as RBA decision disappoints traders

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

AUD/USD

AUDUSD extends pullback from four month high (0.6690) into second straight day, additionally pressured from decision of Australian Central Bank to keep interest rates unchanged.

Although the RBA’s statement kept hawkish bias, traders were disappointed and continued to sell Aussie dollar.

Fresh weakness broke below 200DMA (0.6578), to further soften near-term structure for attack at pivotal support at 0.6529 (Fibo 38.2% of 0.6270/0.6690, reinforced by rising 20DMA) violation of which would generate reversal signal and open way for deeper drop.

Sharp loss of bullish momentum and south-heading RSI contribute to negative outlook, in addition to daily cloud twist early next week, which could be magnetic.

Upticks should stay capped under 0.6600 zone to keep bears in play.

Res: 0.6578; 0.6591; 0.6614; 0.6663.
Sup: 0.6529; 0.6502; 0.6480; 0.6430.

Interested in AUD/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 0.6756
2. R2 0.6724
3. R1 0.6671
PP 0.6638
1. S1 0.6585
2. S2 0.6552
3. S3 0.6499

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1900 as traders eye US data

EUR/USD eases to near 1.1900 in Tuesday's European trading hours, snapping the two-day winning streak. Markets turn cautious, lifting the haven demand for the US Dollar ahead of the release of key US economic data, including Retail Sales and ADP Employment Change 4-week average.

GBP/USD stays in the red below 1.3700 on renewed USD demand

GBP/USD trades on a weaker note below 1.3700 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair faces challenges due to renewed US Dollar demand, UK political risks and rising expectations of a March Bank of England rate cut. The immediate focus is now on the US Retail Sales data.

Gold sticks to modest losses above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses through the first half of the European session, though it holds comfortably above the $5,000 psychological mark and the daily swing low. The outcome of Japan's snap election on Sunday removes political uncertainty, which along with signs of easing tensions in the Middle East, remains supportive of the upbeat market mood. This turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the safe-haven precious metal.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.

Follow the money, what USD/JPY in Tokyo is really telling you

Over the past two Tokyo sessions, this has not been a rate story. Not even close. Interest rate differentials have been spectators, not drivers. What has moved USD/JPY in local hours has been flow and flow alone.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.