AUD/USD outlook: Bears may pause for consolidation, daily cloud top to cap upticks

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

AUD/USD

AUDUSD remains in red for the eighth consecutive day and fell to the lowest in six weeks in early Wednesday.

Aussie dollar remains under increased pressure from stronger US dollar, falling prices of commodities and concerns about China’s economic growth.

Bears cracked pivotal support at 0.6580 (200DMA / 50% retracement of 0.6362/0.6798) after Tuesday’s close below Fibo 38.2% and break below 100DMA in early Wednesday’s trading.

The price is holding in the middle of thick daily Ichimoku cloud, with formation of daily Tenkan / Kijun-sen bear cross adding to bearish near term outlook.

However, strongly oversold conditions warn that bears may pause for consolidation, with 200DMA producing headwinds and keeping the price action for now.

Corrective upticks should be capped under cloud top (0.6642) to keep bears in play and offer better selling opportunities for fresh push lower and attack at 0.6538/28 targets (daily cloud base / Fibo 61.8%).

Res: 0.6607; 0.6631; 0.6642; 0.6663.
Sup: 0.6580; 0.6538; 0.6528; 0.6465.

Interested in AUD/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 0.6671
2. R2 0.6659
3. R1 0.6637
PP 0.6624
1. S1 0.6602
2. S2 0.659
3. S3 0.6568

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.