Slobodan Drvenica
Windsor Brokers
AUDUSD fell to one-week low on Tuesday, falling 1% until early US session, deflated by fall in iron ore and unexpected widening of Australia’s current account gap, while US manufacturing sector performed in August slightly better than previous month, adding to fresh optimism and lifting the US dollar.
Fresh weakness is generating initial reversal signal on daily chart, after the price emerged from recent six-day consolidation range.
Break below 10DMA (0.6765) and subsequent acceleration, is pressuring initial Fibo support at 0.6711 (23.6% of 0.6348/0.6823), loss of which to reinforce negative signal, with near-term bias to remain with bears while the price stays below broken 10DMA.
South-heading momentum indicators add to weakening outlook and show space for deeper pullback and expose a cluster of MA’s at 0.6690/15 zone.
Today’s close will in focus and expected to provide better signals however, traders await releases of key US labor report (JOLTS, ADP, NFP) which will be released in coming days and shed more light on the situation in US labor sector – one of key signals for Fed ahead of policy meeting, due later this months
Res: 0.6765; 0.6794; 0.6812; 0.6823
Sup: 0.6694; 0.6642; 0.6613; 0.6586
The information contained in this document was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed herein are in good faith, but are subject to change without notice. No liability accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document.
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