|

AUD/USD outlook: Australian Dollar falls on weak economic data

AUD/USD

AUDUSD fell to one-week low on Tuesday, falling 1% until early US session, deflated by fall in iron ore and unexpected widening of Australia’s current account gap, while US manufacturing sector performed in August slightly better than previous month, adding to fresh optimism and lifting the US dollar.

Fresh weakness is generating initial reversal signal on daily chart, after the price emerged from recent six-day consolidation range.

Break below 10DMA (0.6765) and subsequent acceleration, is pressuring initial Fibo support at 0.6711 (23.6% of 0.6348/0.6823), loss of which to reinforce negative signal, with near-term bias to remain with bears while the price stays below broken 10DMA.

South-heading momentum indicators add to weakening outlook and show space for deeper pullback and expose a cluster of MA’s at 0.6690/15 zone.

Today’s close will in focus and expected to provide better signals however, traders await releases of key US labor report (JOLTS, ADP, NFP) which will be released in coming days and shed more light on the situation in US labor sector – one of key signals for Fed ahead of policy meeting, due later this months

Res: 0.6765; 0.6794; 0.6812; 0.6823.

Sup: 0.6694; 0.6642; 0.6613; 0.6586.

Interested in AUD/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 0.6851
    2. R2 0.6822
    3. R1 0.6767
  1. PP 0.6737
    1. S1 0.6682
    2. S2 0.6653
    3. S3 0.6598

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.