|

AUD/USD Forecast: Waiting for RBA Meeting’s Minutes

AUD/USD Current Price: 0.6345

  • Governor Lowe expected to provide an encouraging speech despite the ongoing crisis.
  • PBOC cut interest rates to support the economy, helped the Aussie to hold ground.
  • AUD/USD short-term neutral, needs to advance beyond 0.6440 to turn positive.

The AUD/USD pair hovered around the 0.6350 level throughout this first day of the week, consolidating its modest Friday gains. The Aussie found support on the People Bank of China’s decision to cut interest rates at the beginning of the day, aimed to provide support to the economy. The central bank trimmed its Loan Prime Rate by 20 bps, to 3.85%.  

The Reserve Bank of Australia will publish the Minutes of its latest meeting during the upcoming Asian session, followed by a Governor’s Lowe speech. The RBA surprised with a positive stance a couple of weeks ago, and the document may provide some support to the local currency, as he hopes for “smaller and less frequent purchases of government bonds” would be required.

AUD/USD short-term technical outlook

The AUD/USD pair is trading just above a flat 20 SMA, in its 4-hour chart, while the larger ones stand some 150 pips below the current level. Technical indicators, in the mentioned time-frame, have turned marginally lower within neutral levels, barely holding above their midlines. The pair could gather some positive momentum on a break above 0.6443, so far this month high.

Support levels: 0.6330 0.6300 0.6265

Resistance levels: 0.6375 0.6400 0.6440

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to two-week highs beyond 1.1900

EUR/USD is keeping its foot on the gas at the start of the week, reclaiming the 1.1900 barrier and above on Monday. The US Dollar remains on the back foot, with traders reluctant to step in ahead of Wednesday’s key January jobs report, allowing the pair to extend its upward grind for now.

GBP/USD hits three-day peaks, targets 1.3700

GBP/USD is clocking decent gains at the start of the week, advancing to three-day highs near 1.3670 and building on Friday’s solid performance. The better tone in the British Pound comes on the back of the intense sekk-off in the Greenback and despite re-emerging signs of a fresh government crisis in the UK.

Gold treads water around $5,000

Gold is trading in an inconclusive fashion around the key $5,000 mark on Monday week. Support is coming from fresh signs of further buying from the PBoC, while expectations that the Fed could turn more dovish, alongside concerns over its independence, keep the demand for the precious metal running.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin steadies around $70,000, Ethereum and XRP remain under pressure 

Bitcoin hovers around $70,000, up near 15% from last week's low of $60,000 despite low retail demand. Ethereum delicately holds $2,000 support as weak technicals weigh amid declining futures Open Interest. XRP seeks support above $1.40 after facing rejection at $1.54 during the previous week's sharp rebound.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Ripple exposed to volatility amid low retail interest, modest fund inflows

Ripple (XRP) is extending its intraday decline to around $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid growing pressure from the retail market and risk-off sentiment that continues to keep investors on the sidelines.