|

AUD/USD Forecast: Bulls losing interest after dismal GDP figures

AUD/USD Current Price: 0.6850

  • Australian data resulted softer than anticipated, weighing on the Aussie.
  • A modest improvement in the market’s sentiment helped the pair to remain afloat.
  • AUD/USD could turn bearish on a break below the 0.6800 figure.

The Australian dollar has fallen during Asian trading hours against all of its major rivals, following the release of the Gross Domestic Product estimate for the three months to September, which rose by 0.4%, missing the market’s expectations of a 0.5% advance. The yearly estimate came as expected at 1.7%. Also, the AIG Performance of Services Index shrank to 53.7 in November from 54.2 in October. The Commonwealth Bank Services PMI for the same month improved to 49.7.  The AUD/USD pair fell to 0.6812, but bounced to settle around 0.6850, helped by a better market mood, as equities recovered on the back of headlines suggesting the US and China are still working on a trade deal.

Australia will release its October Trade Balance during the upcoming Asian session, with the market expecting a surplus of 6100M.

AUD/USD short-term technical outlook

The AUD/USD pair is holding at the upper end of its latest range, although chances that it could extend its rally have somehow decreased. In the 4 hours chart, the pair continues developing above all of its moving averages. Technical indicators eased, still near overbought readings although posting lower highs daily basis, a sign that bulls are losing interest. The pair, however, would only turn bearish on a break below the 0.6800 figure.

Support levels: 0.6800 0.6770  0.6730  

Resistance levels: 0.6865 0.6890 0.6920

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1900 as USD recovers

EUR/USD trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day, below 1.1900 in the European session on Thursday. A modest rebound in the US Dollar is weighing on the pair, despite an upbeat market mood. Traders keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data for further trading impetus. 

GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 after UK data dump

\GBP/USD moves little while holding above 1.3600 in the European session on Thursday, following the release of the UK Q4 preliminary GDP, which showed a 0.1% growth against a 0.2% increase expected. The UK industrial sector activity deteriorated in Decembert, keeping the downward pressure intact on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses as reduced March Fed rate cut bets underpin USD

Gold languishes near the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session on Thursday. The precious metal, however, lacks follow-through selling amid mixed cues and currently trades above the $5,050 level, well within striking distance of a nearly two-week low touched the previous day.

Cardano eyes short-term rebound as derivatives sentiment improves

Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.257 at the time of writing on Thursday, after slipping more than 4% so far this week. Derivatives sentiment improves as ADA’s funding rates turn positive alongside rising long bets among traders.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.