|

AUD/USD Forecast: Bullish as long as above 0.6900

AUD/USD Current Price: 0.6932

  • Australian economic activity improved by more than anticipated in June.
  • Gold prices surged to reach fresh multi-year highs, underpinning Aussie.
  • AUD/USD holding on to intraday gains, but the bullish momentum is limited.

The AUD/USD pair extended its advance to 0.6974 in the past American session, stabilizing at the end of the day in the 0.6930 price zone. Growth-related data was behind the daily advance, with upbeat PMIs from all major economies, Australia included. The preliminary estimate of the Commonwealth Bank Manufacturing PMI surged to 49.8 in June from 49.2 in May, while the services index came in at 53.2 from 25.7. Another bullish factor for the pair was gold, as the bright metal surged to its highest since 2012 on the back of the broad dollar’s weakness.

Australia won’t release macroeconomic data this Wednesday, although the New Zealand Central Bank will announce its latest monetary policy decision, which in turn, could have an impact on the Aussie.

AUD/USD short-term technical outlook

The AUD/USD pair retains its positive tone in the short-term, although the bullish momentum faded by the end of the day. In the 4-hour chart, it is developing above all of its moving averages, with the 20 and 100 SMA heading modestly higher a handful of pips below the current level. Technical indicators, in the meantime, eased from daily highs, currently approaching their midlines. As long as the pair holds above the 0.6900 level, however, chances of a steeper decline will be limited.

Support levels: 0.6900 0.6860 0.6820  

Resistance levels: 0.6980 0.7015 0.7050

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens to near 1.1900 as traders eye US data

EUR/USD eases to near 1.1900 in Tuesday's European trading hours, snapping the two-day winning streak. Markets turn cautious, lifting the haven demand for the US Dollar ahead of the release of key US economic data, including Retail Sales and ADP Employment Change 4-week average.

GBP/USD stays in the red below 1.3700 on renewed USD demand

GBP/USD trades on a weaker note below 1.3700 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair faces challenges due to renewed US Dollar demand, UK political risks and rising expectations of a March Bank of England rate cut. The immediate focus is now on the US Retail Sales data. 

Gold drifts lower as positive risk tone tempers safe-haven demand; downside seems limited

Gold drifts lower during the Asian session on Tuesday and snaps a two-day winning streak, though it lacks strong follow-through selling and shows some resilience below the $5,000 psychological mark amid mixed cues. The outcome of Japan's snap election on Sunday removes political uncertainty, which, along with signs of easing tensions in the Middle East, remains supportive of the upbeat market mood.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.

Follow the money, what USD/JPY in Tokyo is really telling you

Over the past two Tokyo sessions, this has not been a rate story. Not even close. Interest rate differentials have been spectators, not drivers. What has moved USD/JPY in local hours has been flow and flow alone.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.