|

AUD/USD analysis: bounce limited by Trump's tariff plan

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7759

  • Aussie under pressure despite dollar's broad weakness, amid Trump's plan to impose tariffs on metals.
  • Australia to release fresh inflation and services data this Monday.

The Aussie was unable to hold on to gains against its American rival, despite this latest broad weakness, and the AUD/USD pair closed Friday in the red at 0.7759, as despite broad dollar's weakness, the Aussie suffered from the poor performance of worldwide equities and Trump's announced plan to impose tariffs on steel and aluminum, as Australian economy is mainly based on commodities' exports. Australia will have a more interesting macroeconomic calendar this week, starting on Monday with the release of the AIG Performance of Services Index for February and TD Securities inflation for the same month. The pair managed to close the week above the 61.8% retracement of the December/January rally at 0.7740 after briefly piercing it late Thursday, and still clearly bearish according to technical readings in the daily chart, as the pair is developing well below a bearish 20 DMA, while technical indicators maintain their bearish slopes well into negative territory and nearing oversold readings. Shorter term, and according to the 4 hours chart, the risk also leans towards the downside, as technical indicators remain within negative territory, while a bearish 20 SMA caps advances, now acting as an immediate resistance at 0.7775.

Support levels: 0.7740 0.7715 0.7680  

Resistance levels: 0.7775 0.7820 0.7850

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD declines toward 1.1700 on solid USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. A solid comeback staged by the US Dollar weighs heavily on the pair, as traders look to USD short covering ahead of US CPI on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD slides toward 1.3300 after softer-than-expected UK inflation data

GBP/USD has come under intense selling pressure, eyeing 1.3300 in the European session on Wednesday. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board. 

Gold clings to modest gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps ithe pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple extend correction as bearish momentum builds

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure as the broader market continues its corrective phase into midweek. The weak price action of these top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization suggests a deeper correction, as momentum indicators are beginning to tilt bearish.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.