|

Asia Market update( KRW-THB-CNH) + Oil

Oil Markets

If you need further evidence of recessionary fears running rampant in energy markets do look no further than this morning WTI price action. Despite an enormous inventory draw, which typically signals a green light to buy, as even the most ardent bulls are showing meek interest to stand in front of last nights extended sell-off.

If a more substantial than expected US inventory draw can’t plug the leak, oil markets could be in for a lopsided and miserable day.

Forget Goldilocks economy; the three Oil Bears are driving the bus today!!

Asia Markets

And we thought summer was supposed to be slow but it’s certainly not looking like a beautiful day at the Beach for Asian markets (unless you’re in Thailand of course) as a multitude of concerns continue to weigh on sentiment. But throw in a stronger USD, threating to tear like a wrecking ball through Asia markets, one should position risky assets carefully this morning as the markets could move beyond this cautionary stage if this level of negatively persists. 

CNH

So many worst-case scenarios getting priced into the calculus that goes well beyond the soft-pedalling nature of the g-20 trade truce.

Clear signals that China economy is in trouble are weighing on sentiment and frankly Pboc’s Yi Gang hawkish policy retort overnight has done little to soothe investors’ concerns.

Won

The KRW NDF is bid, and the Won has been trading bid from the opening bell on the back of Korea downgrading its 2019 GDP and CPI outlooks

THB

Despite a possible interest rate cut which was thought might take some shine off the THB appeal. But the STI continuing to bounce, higher suggesting that flows remain favourable. Keep in mind that Thailand has been upping their Gold reserves, so this too is adding to the currency haven appeal as gold fever grips the Asian market yet again.

Author

Stephen Innes

Stephen Innes

SPI Asset Management

With more than 25 years of experience, Stephen has a deep-seated knowledge of G10 and Asian currency markets as well as precious metal and oil markets.

More from Stephen Innes
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).