Demand for risk assets in financial markets continues to shrink with two significant drivers. Firstly, sentiment is undermined by the sustained sell-off in equities that has dominated the week during the US trading session. Secondly, China is not backing down on its ideas to limit the strength of the big technology corporations, while the US court decision bit off some profit from Apple.

The US S&P500 came under pressure during the New York session on Friday, with pressure intensifying towards the close of trading, reflecting the wariness of professional managers. The index is again a couple of steps away from its 50-day moving average. The index has fallen to this line around the middle of each month since May, and each time it finds support on dips there.

However, it is dangerous to rely on correlations in the markets as they break too frequently. It is worth paying attention to the performance of the American stocks near the 50-day average and not deciding for a short-term move before it tests these levels. Consolidation under 4430 could launch a deeper correction towards the 200 SMA at 4100. A pullback from 4430 would focus on returning to the historical highs above 4550 within just a week or two.

That said, the markets have a lot to worry about. Two of the world's largest economies are in sync with pressure on their fintech giants. Access to user data and the growth of ecosystems have effectively created new monopolists that have lately been profiting lavishly from this information themselves and preventing others from doing so. In 2007, the phrase "too big to fail" became widespread as the government bailed out big banks and manufacturing companies. Now we are witnessing a U-turn, with governments intent on raising taxes on corporations and limiting their monopoly in certain sectors or crushing companies that have become frighteningly large for even the US and Chinese governments, the world's two largest economies by a wide margin.

China presses Alibaba to spin off its financial arm, Ant Group, into a separate company with state ownership. Restrictions on the use of user data and the need to share it with the government deprive fintech of an essential competitive advantage, causing a reassessment of the sector.

At the same time, fintech is also under pressure in the US. On Friday, Apple lost a lawsuit with Epic Games and must now allow companies to use payment services to bypass those approved on the Appstore. This will result in a loss of billions of dollars a year in revenue. Investors fear that this could be the start of a big wave of pressure on fintech, which has concentrated control first over user data, then over financial flows, and has already started profiting from this information.

Like Alibaba for China and Apple and Google for the US, those companies may just be too big to be.

Trade Responsibly. CFDs and Spread Betting are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 77.37% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs and Spread Betting with this provider. The Analysts' opinions are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as a recommendation or trading advice.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0900 after ZEW sentiment data

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0900 after ZEW sentiment data

EUR/USD fluctuates near 1.0900 on Tuesday. The data published by ZEW showed that the Economic Sentiment Index for Germany and the Eurozone declined sharply in July, making it hard for the Euro to find demand, as focus shifts to US Retail Sales data.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD bounces off 1.2950 ahead of US data

GBP/USD bounces off 1.2950 ahead of US data

GBP/USD has recaptured the 1.2950 barrier in European trading on Tuesday, reverting toward the 2024 high of 1.2995. The pair shrugs off a cautious market mood, as the US Dollar stalls its rebound ahead of the US Retail Sales data and Fedspeak. 

GBP/USD News

Gold climbs to multi-week highs above $2,440

Gold climbs to multi-week highs above $2,440

Gold gathers bullish momentum and trades at its strongest level since late May above $2,440. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield loses more than 1% on the day below 4.2%, helping XAU/USD push higher on Tuesday.

Gold News

Bitcoin price consolidates near $62,000 despite liquidation of $71.02 million in short position and surge in Open Interest

Bitcoin price consolidates near $62,000 despite liquidation of $71.02 million in short position and surge in Open Interest

Bitcoin (BTC) sees a 3% price decline on Tuesday, trading around the $63,000 level at the time of writing. On-chain data shows a liquidation of $71.02 million in short positions and a rise in open interest. 

Read more

Canada CPI Preview: Inflation expected to ease in June as BoC ponders additional rate cuts

Canada CPI Preview: Inflation expected to ease in June as BoC ponders additional rate cuts

Canada is set to reveal the latest inflation data on Tuesday, with Statistics Canada publishing the CPI for June. Forecasts predict disinflationary pressures to resume in both the headline CPI and the Core CPI following May’s hiccup.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures