Stephen Innes
SPI Asset Management
After peaking at 4.89% last week, the 10-year US Treasury yield retraced to an intraday low of 4.62% yesterday, pushing against the one-way ticket to 5 % that many had stamped.
The initial trigger for this reversal was the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East involving Hamas and Israel, which increased demand for safe-haven assets.
However, investor risk sentiment improved as confidence grew that the conflict would likely remain contained and not disrupt financial markets significantly.
Notably, the recovery in risk sentiment hasn't translated into higher US yields, indicating a degree of acceptance of the Federal Reserve's less hawkish turn.
While the market awaits the release of US PPI data and the Fed's meeting minutes today, recent dovish comments from Fed officials have been suspiciously synchronized; hence, US bond yields have continued to slide, suggesting recent Fed rhetoric is sinking in and will take precedence, over the meeting minutes.
SPI Asset Management provides forex, commodities, and global indices analysis, in a timely and accurate fashion on major economic trends, technical analysis, and worldwide events that impact different asset classes and investors.
Our publications are for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities.
Opinions are the authors — not necessarily SPI Asset Management its officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. Losses can exceed investments.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD holds the uptick above 0.6450 after mixed Chinese data
AUD/USD is holding higher ground above 0.6450 in Friday's Asian trading, shrugging off mixed Chinese activity data for October. Traders are looking to cash in after the recent downfall even though the US Dollar stay firm and market mood remains cautious. US data is next in focus.
USD/JPY reverses Japan's GDP-led spike to 156.75
USD/JPY pares gains to near 156.50 in Asian session on Friday, revesing the early spike to 156.75 fuelled by unimpressive Japanese Q3 GDP data. The pair is facing headwinds from Japanese verbal intervention and a tepid risk tone, despite the sustained US Dollar strength.
Gold price extends decline on bullish US Dollar, investors brace for US PPI data
Gold price struggles to gain ground around $2,570 on Friday after bouncing off a two-month low in the previous session. The precious metal remains under selling pressure amid the strong US Dollar and the rising uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's pace of interest rate reductions.
Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC eyes $100K, what are the key factors to watch out for?
Bitcoin trades below $90K in the early Asian session on Friday as investors realized nearly $8 billion in profits in the past two days. Despite the profit-taking, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan suggested that BTC could be ready for the $100K level, fueled by increased stablecoin supply and potential government investment.
Trump vs CPI
US CPI for October was exactly in line with expectations. The headline rate of CPI rose to 2.6% YoY from 2.4% YoY in September. The core rate remained steady at 3.3%. The detail of the report shows that the shelter index rose by 0.4% on the month, which accounted for 50% of the increase in all items on a monthly basis.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.