Yesterday soft data from the US fueled the Fed doves yesterday. The latest ADP report showed that the US economy added 150’000 new private jobs in June, less than expected by analysts and slightly less than last month, initial jobless claims rose, the factory orders unexpectedly fell in May and the ISM services unexpectedly contracted in June, the employment component plunged while prices fell more than expected. As such, investors saw in the data the evidence that the Fed is looking for to cut its rates. US yields and the USD fell and major US indices refreshed record before July 4th holiday.

Today, Brits are heading to the polls today aiming to oust the Conservatives from power after 14-years. A Labour win is seen as a net positive for both the British stock markets and sterling.

On the continent, the broad based dollar weakness sent the EURUSD past the 1.0750 resistance yesterday, the pair tested shortly traded past the 1.08 level, but the French political risks prevail and visibility is low into the second election weekend in France where we just don’t know whether Le Pen will or will not win a parliamentary majority.

Elsewhere, Japanese Nikkei is up for the third consecutive session and is approaching an ATH level reached back in March. The USDJPY doesn’t dare to move above the 162 for now. A broad based dollar weakness helps keeping the pressure contained.

 

This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.

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