Forex Forecast Polls


The Forex Forecast is a currency sentiment tool that highlights our selected experts' near and medium term mood and calculates trends according to Friday's 15:00 GMT price. The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.



Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Trade war chaos far from over, USD condemned

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Trade war chaos far from over, USD condemned Premium

The EUR/USD pair jumped to 1.1473 on Friday, its highest since February 2022, amid escalating tensions between the United States (US) and China, triggering a US Dollar (USD) sell-off.
Read full analysis
GBP/USD Weekly Outlook: Pound Sterling stages a solid comeback ahead of key UK data

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook: Pound Sterling stages a solid comeback ahead of key UK data Premium

The Pound Sterling (GBP) jumped back into the game against the US Dollar (USD), allowing the GBP/USD pair to stage a solid comeback from five-week troughs.

Read full analysis
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Market uncertainty lingers, Trump’s 90-day tariff pause sparks modest recovery

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Market uncertainty lingers, Trump’s 90-day tariff pause sparks modest recovery

Bitcoin (BTC) price extends recovery to around $82,500 on Friday after dumping to a new year-to-date low of $74,508 to start the week. Market uncertainty remains high, leading to a massive shakeout, with total liquidations hitting $2.18 billion across crypto markets.

Read full analysis
Week ahead – ECB set to cut, BoC might pause as Trump U-turns on tariffs

Week ahead – ECB set to cut, BoC might pause as Trump U-turns on tariffs

ECB is expected to trim rates, but the BoC might pause this time. CPI data also in the spotlight; due in UK, Canada, New Zealand and Japan. Retail Sales the main release in the United States. China GDP eyed as Beijing not spared by Trump.

Read full analysis
AUD/USD: Interim top confirmed, 0.7000 at risk

AUD/USD: Interim top confirmed, 0.7000 at risk Premium

The AUD/USD pair kept falling in the last few days, reaching a fresh multi-week low of 0.7263 on Friday, to close the trading week a handful of pips above it. 

Read full analysis
Gold Weekly Forecast: Safe-haven demand lifts precious metal to record high above $3,200

Gold Weekly Forecast: Safe-haven demand lifts precious metal to record high above $3,200 Premium

Gold (XAU/USD) started the week on the back foot and dropped below $3,000 before staging an impressive rally that lifted the price to a new all-time peak above $3,200 on Friday.

Read full analysis

WHAT IS THE FOREX FORECAST POLL?

The Forex Forecast Poll is a sentiment tool that highlights near- and medium-term price expectations from leading market experts.

  • Unique sentiment indicator with a 5-year history
  • For 10 currency pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, GBPJPY, EURJPY, EURGBP)
  • Survey conducted every Friday and published at 15:00 GMT
  • Serves all time horizons: 1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter - includes an average price for each time horizon
  • Followed by traders, market commentators as well as academics

The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.

 

HOW TO READ THE GRAPHS?

Besides the table with all participants’ individual prediction, a graphic representation aggregates and visualizes the data: the Bullish/Bearish/Sideways line shows the percentage of our contributors on each of these outlook biases.

This graph is available for each time horizon (1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter). We also indicate the average price forecast as well as the average bias.

WHY SHOULD I USE IT?

Our unique Forex Forecast poll offers you:

  • A sentiment indicator which delivers actionable price levels, not merely “mood” or “positioning” indications. Traders can check if there is unanimity among the surveyed experts - if there is excessive speculator sentiment driving a market - or if there are divergences among them. When sentiment is not at extremes, traders get actionable price targets to trade upon. When there is deviation between actual market rate and value reflected in forecasted rate, there is usually an opportunity to enter the market.
  • No lag in the data: Contrary to other indicators, there is no delay.
  • Significant sentiment data, based on a representative sample of 25 to 50 leading trading advisors for 5 years. Do not follow a single guru but rather a balanced group of well chosen experts. The Forex Forecast Poll offers a condensed version of several expert's opinions. Only outlooks are considered that have been committed to publication and therefore have an influence on the market.
  • A tool for Contrarian thinking: People instinctively follow the impulses of the crowd. Sentiment indicators, in turn, lead to “contrarian” thinking. You can read sentiment extremes and avoid being one of the herd. Contrast own opinions and price outlook with a group of leading trading advisors and money managers.
  • A tool to build strategies upon prediction data: Find patterns data for instance if a trend is gaining or losing energy.
EUR/USD Forecast GBP/USD Forecast USD/JPY Forecast AUD/USD Forecast
USD/CAD Forecast GBP/JPY Forecast NZD/USD Forecast EUR/JPY Forecast