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Over the past two Tokyo sessions, this has not been a rate story. Not even close. Interest rate differentials have been spectators, not drivers. What has moved USD/JPY in local hours has been flow and flow alone.
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In-Depth Analysis
A few months ago I started to notice something odd. The price of natural hazelnuts had more or less doubled. Shortly after, they became surprisingly hard to find, at least in supermarkets where they had always been readily available.
![Why Copper could outperform Gold and Silver in 2026 [Video]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Feditorial.fxsstatic.com%2Fimages%2Fi%2Fcopper-02.jpg&w=1536&q=75)
Every bull market creates its own regrets. Missed entries. Delayed conviction. Capital deployed just late enough to feel the move, but not profit from it.
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Cryptocurrencies
Ripple (XRP) is extending its intraday decline to around $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid growing pressure from the retail market and risk-off sentiment that continues to keep investors on the sidelines.
Bitcoin hovers around $70,000, up near 15% from last week's low of $60,000 despite low retail demand. Ethereum delicately holds $2,000 support as weak technicals weigh amid declining futures Open Interest.
PI edges lower by over 3% at press time on Monday, marking a third consecutive day of losses. The declining trend in PI aligns with the steady mainnet migration of PI tokens, which may fuel selling pressure. The technical outlook for PI remains bearish, with bearish momentum persisting.
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Stocks
Amazon (AMZN) stock is holding onto an 8% loss late into Friday's morning session, the first regular session since CEO Andy Jassy released the company's fourth-quarter results. Despite a beat on the revenue side, the market was startled by a $0.01 miss on adjusted earnings per share, and Jassy's guidance for $200 billion in capex this year.
Weekly Forecast
The EUR/USD pair lost additional ground in the first week of February, settling at around 1.1820. The reversal lost momentum after the pair peaked at 1.2082 in January, its highest since mid-2021.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) changed course against the US Dollar (USD), with GBP/USD giving up nearly 200 pips in a dramatic correction.
Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.
Finally, the recent steep leg lower in the US Dollar (USD) has found some respite. Indeed, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has managed to regain some composure and put further distance from the yearly lows near 95.50 recorded in late January, reaching the boundaries of the 98.00 yardstick toward the end of the week.
