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The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.
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In-Depth Analysis
A few months ago I started to notice something odd. The price of natural hazelnuts had more or less doubled. Shortly after, they became surprisingly hard to find, at least in supermarkets where they had always been readily available.
![Why Copper could outperform Gold and Silver in 2026 [Video]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Feditorial.fxsstatic.com%2Fimages%2Fi%2Fcopper-02.jpg&w=1536&q=75)
Every bull market creates its own regrets. Missed entries. Delayed conviction. Capital deployed just late enough to feel the move, but not profit from it.
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Cryptocurrencies
Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.
Bitcoin is down 15% in February and looks poised to extend its losses toward the yearly low of $60,000. Ethereum and Ripple are following in Bitcoin's footsteps, weighed down by a weak derivatives market.
Hyerliquid (HYPE) drops to its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $28.85 at the time of writing on Wednesday, extending a decline of roughly 10% so far this week.
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Stocks
The rebound from last week’s drawdown never quite shook the sense that it was being supported by borrowed conviction. The S&P 500 once again tested near the 7000 level and failed, despite a macro backdrop that would normally be interpreted as supportive of risk.
Weekly Forecast
The EUR/USD pair lost additional ground in the first week of February, settling at around 1.1820. The reversal lost momentum after the pair peaked at 1.2082 in January, its highest since mid-2021.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) changed course against the US Dollar (USD), with GBP/USD giving up nearly 200 pips in a dramatic correction.
Bitcoin (BTC) price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.
Finally, the recent steep leg lower in the US Dollar (USD) has found some respite. Indeed, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has managed to regain some composure and put further distance from the yearly lows near 95.50 recorded in late January, reaching the boundaries of the 98.00 yardstick toward the end of the week.
