Forex Analysis
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EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates Premium
The EUR/USD pair lost additional ground in the first week of February, settling at around 1.1820. The reversal lost momentum after the pair peaked at 1.2082 in January, its highest since mid-2021.
Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space Premium
After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold (XAU/USD) remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000.
FXS SIGNALS
Deeper dive
Are you (hazel) nuts?
A few months ago I started to notice something odd. The price of natural hazelnuts had more or less doubled. Shortly after, they became surprisingly hard to find, at least in supermarkets where they had always been readily available.
Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair
We know from our many client discussions that there appears to be at least some degree of comfort with a Warsh led Fed vs. the other choices.
The Fed is heading for an extended pause, unlike the Bank of Japan
The FOMC decided to keep interest rates steady at 3.5% – 3.75% at its 27–28 January meeting, following three consecutive rate cuts at the end of 2025.
upcoming calendar events
REAL-TIME RATES
CRYPTO KEYS
XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery
Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave
Bitcoin rebounds after testing an intraday low at $60,000 amid persistent retail investor exit. Ethereum shows subtle signs of recovery, but ETFs outflows limit upside. XRP gains by over 10% on Friday amid mild ETF inflows and a drop in futures Open Interest to $2.40 billion.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: The worst may be behind us
Bitcoin price recovers slightly, trading at $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after reaching a low of $60,000 during the early Asian trading session. The Crypto King remained under pressure so far this week, posting three consecutive weeks of losses exceeding 30%.