US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar Index declines ahead of NFP release

The US Dollar Index (DXY) holds losses and is trading near 96.60 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Traders await the delayed US employment report scheduled to be released on Wednesday for more hints about the US interest rate outlook.

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AUD/USD: Some profit-taking should not be ruled out

AUD/USD: Some profit-taking should not be ruled out

AUD/USD has quickly faded Wednesday’s strong advance despite climbing to new multi-year highs around 0.7150 earlier on Thursday. The pair’s decline comes amid a marginal uptick in the US Dollar, while investors gear up for US CPI data and relevant Chinese releases on Friday.
 

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD has surrendered its earlier intraday advance on Thursday and is now hovering uncomfortably around the 1.1860 region amid modest gains in the US Dolla. Moving forward, markets are exoected to closely follow Friday’s release of US CPI data.
 

Gold falls to near $4,900 as selling pressure intensifies

Gold falls to near $4,900 as selling pressure intensifies

Gold price faces some selling pressure around $4,910 during the early Asian session on Friday. The yellow metal tumbles over 3.50% on the day, with algorithmic traders appearing to amplify the precious metal’s sudden drop. Traders will closely monitor the release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report for January, which will be released later on Friday. 

Ethereum investors face huge unrealized losses following price slump

Ethereum investors face huge unrealized losses following price slump

US spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds flipped negative again on Wednesday after recording net outflows of $129.1 million, reversing mild inflows seen at the beginning of the week, per SoSoValue data. Fidelity's FETH was responsible for more than half of withdrawals, posting outflows of $67 million.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

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US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index (DXY, USDX) measures the value of the United States Dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. It is a weighted geometric mean of the dollar’s value relative to the following select currencies: Euro (57.6% weight), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%).
The index started in 1973, following the dissolution of the Bretton Woods system, with a base value of 100.00. Values are relative to this base – for instance, a current reading of 99.800 would indicate that the dollar has depreciated by 0.2% since the start of the index.

While the Dollar Index is a geometrically weighted index rather than trade-weighted, it is concentrated in European currencies and excludes two of the US’ top trading partners, Mexico and China. As a result, it is primarily used as a speculative tool rather than by corporates or asset managers like mutual funds, insurance companies or endowments. Additionally, the geometric mean methodology artificially undervalues the USD over time.

INFLUENTIAL ORGANIZATIONS AND ECONOMIC DATA FOR THE US DOLLAR INDEX

The Federal Reserve (Fed)

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States (US) and it has two main targets: to maintain the unemployment rate at its lowest possible levels and to keep inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors and the partially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes eight scheduled meetings in a year to review economic and financial conditions. It also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. The FOMC Minutes, which are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve weeks after the latest meeting, are a guide to the future US interest-rate policy.

The US Government

The US Government and its Treasury Department impact the US Dollar Index. Events such as administration statements, budgets, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the DXY.

US Gross Domestic Product

US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) refers to the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States. It serves as a gross measure of market activity, indicating the pace at which the nation's economy is growing or contracting. Generally, a high reading or better-than-expected number is considered positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is seen as negative.