USD/INR Exchange rate
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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Signatures
USD/INR
The USD/INR pair tells the trader how many Indian Rupees (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one U.S. dollar (the base currency). The Rupee is symbolized by ₹ and is the 20th most traded currency worldwide.
HISTORIC HIGHS AND LOWS FOR USD/INR
- All-time records: Max: 69.528 on 28/08/2013 - Min: 1.30 in 1948
- Last 5 years: 74.42 on 11/10/2018 - Min: 61.81 on 28/03/2015
* Data as of February 2020
ASSETS THAT INFLUENCE USD/INR THE MOST
- Currencies: USD, CNY and GBP.
- Commodities: Gold, oil and silver (India is a major oil and commodity importer).
- Bonds: T-NOTE 10Y (10 year United States Treasury note) and GIND10YR (India Government Bond Generic Bid Yield 10 Year).
- Indices: S&P BSE SENSEX (S&P Bombay Stock Exchange Sensitive Index), NIFTY (National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market) and NSE (National Stock Exchange of India Ltd).
ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE USD/INR
In India, the organizations and people that affect the most the moves of the USD/INR pair are:
- Reserve Bank of India which controls the issue and supply of the Indian rupee. RBI is the regulator of entire Banking in India. It plays an important part in the Development Strategy of the Government of India, issues statements and decides on the interest rates of the country. Its Governor is Shaktikanta Das.
- Government of India, often abbreviated as GoI, (whose President is Ram Nath Kovind) and its Ministry of Finance (whose minister is Nirmala Sitharaman) that implement policies that affect the economy of the country.
In the USA, we have:
- Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States of America whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
- The US Government (and its President Joe Biden): events as administration statements, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the US Dollar and the currencies traded against it, in this case the Bank of India.
In terms of economic data, we should highlight the Trade Account Balance, a balance between exports and imports of total goods and services. A positive value shows a trade surplus, while a negative value shows a trade deficit. It is an event that generates some volatility for the USD/INR. If a steady demand in exchange for INR exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the INR.
Inflation is another economic value that is important for the USD/INR pair. It is measured among others by the CPI (Core Price Index) and the PPI (Production Price Index). They are key indicators to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends.