|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Drops heavily below 131.00 as US banking jitters ease further

  • USD/JPY has sensed immense pressure as US banking jitters have eased.
  • US Treasury Liang reported the US government will use its tools to prevent contagion in the banking sector.
  • Liquidity assurance from US authorities for a potential banking crisis has infused confidence among investors.

The USD/JPY pair has witnessed an intense sell-off after failing to sustain above 131.50 in the Asian session. The asset has observed significant offers led by an extended correction in the US Dollar Index (DXY). The USD Index has stretched its downside to near 102.60 quickly as banking instability in the United States has started easing.

After the expansion of emergency liquidity assistance and the announcement of the acquisition of deposits and loans of failed Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) by First Citizens BancShares, Treasury Undersecretary for Domestic Finance Nellie Liang stated, “The US government will continue using its tools to prevent contagion in the banking sector, as warranted, to ensure Americans’ deposits are safe,” as reported by Reuters.

Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have generated minimal gains after a positive Monday as liquidity assurance from US authorities for a potential banking crisis has infused confidence among the market participants, portraying a risk-on mood.

USD/JPY has sensed selling pressure from the upper portion of the Falling Channel chart pattern formed on a four-hour scale. In a Falling Channel chart pattern, every pullback is considered a selling opportunity by the market participants.

The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 131.80 is acting as a major barricade for the US Dollar bulls.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in the bearish range of 20.00-60.00 and has not shown any sign of a reversal yet.

A break below March 27 low at 130.50 would drag the asset towards March 24 low at 129.64 followed by the horizontal support plotted from February 02 low at 128.08.

In an alternate scenario, a confident break above March 27 high at 131.76 will drive the asset toward March 13 low at 132.29. A breach of the latter will drive the major toward March 22 high at 133.00.

USD/JPY four-hour chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price130.71
Today Daily Change-0.85
Today Daily Change %-0.65
Today daily open131.56
 
Trends
Daily SMA20134.05
Daily SMA50132.66
Daily SMA100134.3
Daily SMA200137.39
 
Levels
Previous Daily High131.76
Previous Daily Low130.5
Previous Weekly High133
Previous Weekly Low129.64
Previous Monthly High136.92
Previous Monthly Low128.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%131.28
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%130.98
Daily Pivot Point S1130.79
Daily Pivot Point S2130.01
Daily Pivot Point S3129.52
Daily Pivot Point R1132.05
Daily Pivot Point R2132.54
Daily Pivot Point R3133.31

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).