|

EUR/USD looks firm and advances to new highs past 1.0900

  • EUR/USD keeps the bid bias unchanged on Thursday.
  • The pair tests 1.0930 and prints fresh 7-week tops.
  • Flash EMU Consumer Confidence comes next in the docket.

The single currency keeps its relentless march north unabated for yet another session and motivates EUR/USD to climb to the 1.0925/30 band and record new multi-week tops on Thursday.

EUR/USD firmer post-Fed

EUR/USD advances for the sixth session in a row so far on Thursday on the back of the persevering selling pressure around the greenback, which in turn morphed into a new multi-week lows for the USD Index (DXY) just below the 102.00 yardstick earlier in the session.

The pair’s upside, in the meantime, appears reinforced by tailwinds following the dovish hike by the Fed at its Wednesday’s gathering along with the equally downbeat message from Chair Powell at his press conference in the wake of the bank’s decision to raise rates by 25 bps.

The domestic calendar will only include the flash gauge of the Consumer Confidence for the current month measured by the European Commission.

In the US, usual weekly Claims are due along with the Chicago Fed National Acitvity Index and New Home Sales.

What to look for around EUR

EUR/USD maintains the optimism well and sound and now looks to consolidate the strong rebound past the 1.0900 barrier and with the immediate target at the so far 2023 highs near 1.1030.

In the meantime, price action around the European currency should continue to closely follow dollar dynamics, as well as the potential next moves from the ECB in a context still dominated by elevated inflation, although amidst dwindling recession risks for the time being.

Key events in the euro area this week: EMU Flash Consumer Confidence, European Council Meeting (Thursday) - European Council Meeting, EMU, Germany Flash PMIs (Friday).

Eminent issues on the back boiler: Continuation, or not, of the ECB hiking cycle. Impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on the growth prospects and inflation outlook in the region. Risks of inflation becoming entrenched.

EUR/USD levels to watch

So far, the pair is gaining 0.29% at 1.0886 and the break above 1.0929 (monthly high March 23) would target 1.1032 (2023 high February 2) en route to 1.1100 (round level). On the flip side, there is initial support at 1.0730 (55-day SMA) followed by 1.0606 (100-day SMA) and finally 1.0516 (monthly low March 15).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).