|

EUR/NOK: Norges Bank can help Krone to gain strength if keeps door open for further hikes – Commerzbank

These are tough times for the Norwegian Krone. Will Norges Bank be able to give NOK some strength? Economists at Commerzbank analyze what should do the central bank to support the currency.

It would be disastrous not to hike the key rate further

“It would be disastrous not to hike the key rate further in view of the broad-based inflation pressure, even less so signalling an end of the rate cycle. Even though Norges Bank was one of the first central banks to hike its key rate while inflation pressure does not show any signs of easing Norges Bank will have to keep a tight grip on the situation and keep the door open for further hikes.”

“If Norges Bank, who seems less restrictive compared to the ECB anyway, chooses this approach it can help NOK to gain new strength as the market, contrary to the analysts’ opinions, is expecting unchanged key rates and significant rate cuts in the autumn and would therefore have to adjust its expectations significantly. Otherwise, it will be difficult for NOK to record notable gains against the Euro in the near future and downside potential will then dominate instead.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold recovers losses above $4,300 amid the year-end grind

Gold price reverses a dip below $4,300 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, recovering intraday losses. The precious metal draws support from the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Gold has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).