AUD/USD turns negative after hitting highest level since June


  • US Dollar gains momentum during the American session as US yields move higher.
  • Markets wobble after US economic data, ahead of central banks meetings next week.
  • AUD/USD drops after a four-day positive streak.

The AUD/USD dropped from the highest level since June during the American session after the US Dollar gained momentum. The pair peaked at 0.7141 and then retreated more than 50 pips. It is hovering around 0.7080, near the daily lows.

The Aussie is headed toward the first daily loss versus the US Dollar after rising for four consecutive days. The trend remains bullish but if the current correction deepens, it could turn into a reversal. The next support  is seen at 0.7060 (Jan 25 low) followed by 0.7025. On the upside, a consolidation above 0.7120 would keep the doors open to more gains.

Markets digest new information

Despite the upbeat economic numbers released on Thursday, the outlook is not clear, with mixed signs and higher interest rates. “Monthly data indicate that while the economy came into the fourth quarter with solid momentum, it ended the quarter with a distinct loss of momentum. Growth likely will be weak, at least relative to the last two quarters of 2022, in Q1-2023”, said analysts at Wells Fargo.

US yields ended up moving higher after the economic reports while US equities moved off highs, favoring the US Dollar. The DXY is up for the day above 102.00 after reaching earlier the lowest level since May. The downtrend for the greenback remains in place but it does not look as strong as two weeks ago.

Next week, the Federal Reserve will announce its decision on monetary policy and a 25 basis points rate hike is expected. Market participants do not see this as the last hike.

On Friday, Australia will report the Producer Price Index for the third quarter. The following policy meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia is February 7. Market participants see a 25 basis points rate hike.  

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.7089
Today Daily Change -0.0016
Today Daily Change % -0.23
Today daily open 0.7105
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6909
Daily SMA50 0.6799
Daily SMA100 0.6649
Daily SMA200 0.6814
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7123
Previous Daily Low 0.7032
Previous Weekly High 0.7064
Previous Weekly Low 0.6872
Previous Monthly High 0.6893
Previous Monthly Low 0.6629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7088
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7067
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7051
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6996
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6961
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7141
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7177
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7231

 

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.7089
Today Daily Change -0.0016
Today Daily Change % -0.23
Today daily open 0.7105
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6909
Daily SMA50 0.6799
Daily SMA100 0.6649
Daily SMA200 0.6814
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.7123
Previous Daily Low 0.7032
Previous Weekly High 0.7064
Previous Weekly Low 0.6872
Previous Monthly High 0.6893
Previous Monthly Low 0.6629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.7088
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.7067
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.7051
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6996
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6961
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.7141
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7177
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7231

 

 

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