Ever wonder what it takes to be a successful market speculator? The first answer that usually comes up is the mastery of chart reading, or another common perception is that one needs to gain lots of information about the companies or markets that he or she chooses to trade. The former is known as technical analysis, while the latter is referencing fundamentals.
While it doesn’t hurt to understand both ways of looking at the markets, what I most commonly see that poses the biggest challenge for traders is the lack of a clear, concise process. In other words, the vast majority of people that attempt this business of speculating in financial markets do not have a systematic approach in which to engage the markets. Moreover, the process administered should be tried and tested to produce consistent results.
So what is a trading Process? If we look up the word Process in Webster’s dictionary it is defined as a series of actions or steps taken in order to achieve a particular end. By this definition a trading process can be built by creating steps and simple rules to find repeatable chart patterns that can then be acted upon to produce reliable results. These chart patterns should represent low risk entry points that generate good profit margins. This process can also include the relationship of various markets to gain an edge.
Once the process is established; then comes the hard part, having the discipline to follow those rules diligently. This can be challenging because of the emotions inherent in any risk taking endeavor. Setting realistic goals and being cognizant of these emotions in real time can help with managing them.
The last part of the trio is focus. This is also a mental process. It starts by being objective about the information that’s presented. What I mean by this is that many traders have lots of opinions and preconceived ideas of what markets should, or have, to do. This is wrongheaded thinking that will tend to distort the information and cause traders to make bad decisions. Staying focused also entails spotting opportunities and being available to take action immediately, without fear or hesitation.
Last week I was conducting an XLT (Extended Learning Track) session in which we were looking at the ES (E-mini S&P 500 Futures Contract) and SPY in the live markets to spot low risk opportunities. As you can see by the caption below, we spotted an area where there was a pocket of unfilled buy orders in the SPY (ETF tracker) and it correlated nicely with the ES (chart to the left). When you have two derivative products trading in sync this produces a significant edge.
The trade was set up for students with an entry, stop, and target shortly before the session ended. They were then instructed to let it play out. We do this so that emotions don’t interfere with the process. In the picture below you can see that the profit target was achieved later that day. Not all trades work so the stop is placed to keep the losses small (the risk management portion of the process).
This is an example of a process we teach here at Online Trading Academy. Once this process is mastered however, the discipline and focus falls solely on the operator. I hope this article was helpful in giving you food for thought in regards to your trading process.
Until next time, I hope everyone has a great week
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0500 ahead of FOMC Minutes
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GBP/USD struggles to hold above 1.2600
GBP/USD loses its traction and trades below 1.2600 after rising above this level earlier in the day. Nevertheless, the pair's losses remain limited as the US Dollar struggles to find demand following mixed data releases. Markets await FOMC Minutes.
Gold stabilizes above $2,600 after sell-off on hope of ceasefire in Lebanon
Gold fluctuates above $2,600 on Tuesday after sliding almost three percent – a whopping $90 plus – on Monday due to rumors Israel and Hezbollah were on the verge of agreeing on a ceasefire. Whilst good news for Lebanon, this was not good news for Gold as it improved the outlook for geopolitical risk.
Trump shakes up markets again with “day one” tariff threats against CA, MX, CN
Pres-elect Trump reprised the ability from his first term to change the course of markets with a single post – this time from his Truth Social network; Threatening 25% tariffs "on Day One" against Mexico and Canada, and an additional 10% against China.
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The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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