Brandon Wendell, CMT
Brandon Wendell
From time to time I discuss more advanced trading tactics and even technical indicators that I feel may enhance a newer trader’s ability to read price. However, you must realize that these techniques are designed to help you with identifying the price levels for trading. They are not to be your sole decision making process.
We need to keep our trading as simple as possible. Focus our decisions on when to buy or sell based on Online Trading Academy’s Core Strategy involving trend with supply and demand. That is the core strategy that we base our trading on and what we teach in our Professional Trader course. When we are sitting down to find trades, the first thing we need to do is to identify the trend we are trading in and even the trend of the larger timeframe. The trend will tell us whether we will have greater probability taking longs or shorts in our trading.
Once we discover the probable direction, we then need to identify the best entry and exit zones. I equate trading to riding a train. You first find a train moving in the direction you want, (the trend), and then board at a station (supply & demand zones). Trying to board the train between stations while it is in full motion is extremely risky just as it is financially risky to jump into a trend when it is not at a supply or a demand level.
We buy at demand and sell at supply for several reasons:
It is the area where we expect prices to resume a fast movement after a pause in the trend. If we are wrong, then we will have very small risk as our stops will be in a logical place that is very close to our entry.
By entering near the beginning of an impulse, (the dominant move in the trend after a correction), we are going to have greater profits than if we jumped in later as the trend was already moving.
If we buy or sell with the trend and in those supply or demand zones, we will have a higher probability of the trade working out.
When we trade, we want high profit potential, low risk, and high probability for our trades. This is a key to success. So how do the advanced techniques fit into our trading? They give us another perspective of price and can increase our confidence in taking a trade. You have to use those indicators properly though. Buy and sell signals in the indicators will always happen after we are moving away from the supply or demand levels so they are late. Divergence between an indicator and the price of your security or the indicator sitting in an overbought or oversold zone when we are hitting a supply or demand zone is an odds enhancer for your trade.
Trading is rules-based and needs to be as emotionless as possible. If you are unsure of the rules or how to identify the trend, supply or demand, then visit your local Online Trading Academy center and take a course. Proper education is the best way to protect your capital and grow your money consistently.
Neither Freedom Management Partners nor any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment advisers. I will mention that I consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. Because I consider the securities or positions appropriate to the discussion or for illustration purposes does not mean that I am telling you to trade the strategies or securities. Keep in mind that we are not providing you with recommendations or personalized advice about your trading activities. The information we are providing is not tailored to any individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security or a suggestion that it is suitable for any specific person. Keep in mind that all trading involves a risk of loss, and this will always be the situation, regardless of whether we are discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk. Also, Freedom Management Partners’ personnel are not subject to trading restrictions. I and others at Freedom Management Partners could have a position in a security or initiate a position in a security at any time.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Japanese Yen drops to fresh daily low; USD/JPY approaches 155.00 ahead of US PMIs
The Japanese Yen struggles to capitalize on stronger domestic inflation-inspired intraday uptick. The BoJ rate-hike uncertainty, the upbeat market mood and elevated US bond yields cap the JPY. The USD climbs to a fresh year-to-date high and offers additional support to the USD/JPY pair.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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