Forex Forecast Polls


The Forex Forecast is a currency sentiment tool that highlights our selected experts' near and medium term mood and calculates trends according to Friday's 15:00 GMT price. The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.



Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: Could the Federal Reserve pave the way for a September cut? Premium

EUR/USD: Could the Federal Reserve pave the way for a September cut?

EUR/USD maintains the bullish bias in the daily chart despite absent weekly progress. Macroeconomic data imbalances may end up benefiting the US Dollar.

Read full analysis

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling to focus on Fed-BoE policy divergence Premium

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling to focus on Fed-BoE policy divergence

The Pound Sterling stretched its corrective downside from yearly highs against the US Dollar, sending GBP/USD back under 1.2900 – the lowest level in over a week.

Read full analysis

Bitcoin: Will BTC manage to recover from recent market turmoil?

Bitcoin: Will BTC manage to recover from recent market turmoil?

Bitcoin recovers to $67,000 on Friday after finding support around $63,500 a day before. Still, BTC losses over 1.50% on the week as Mt. Gox persists in transferring Bitcoin to exchanges.

Read full analysis

Week ahead – BoJ, Fed and BoE meetings: A hike, a hold and a cut?

Week ahead – BoJ, Fed and BoE meetings: A hike, a hold and a cut?

A trio of central bank decisions coming up from the BoJ, Fed and BoE. One might hike, one might stand pat and the other cut rates. ECB to also be in focus.

Read full analysis

AUD/USD: Interim top confirmed, 0.7000 at risk Premium

AUD/USD: Interim top confirmed, 0.7000 at risk

The AUD/USD pair kept falling in the last few days, reaching a fresh multi-week low of 0.7263 on Friday, to close the trading week a handful of pips above it. 

Read full analysis

Gold: Pullback continues amid gloomy demand outlook Premium

Gold: Pullback continues amid gloomy demand outlook

After ending the last week marginally lower, Gold extended its slide and touched a two-week low near $2,350, pressured by growing signs of a worsening demand outlook.

Read full analysis

WHAT IS THE FOREX FORECAST POLL?

The Forex Forecast Poll is a sentiment tool that highlights near- and medium-term price expectations from leading market experts.

  • Unique sentiment indicator with a 5-year history
  • For 10 currency pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, GBPJPY, EURJPY, EURGBP)
  • Survey conducted every Friday and published at 15:00 GMT
  • Serves all time horizons: 1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter - includes an average price for each time horizon
  • Followed by traders, market commentators as well as academics

The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.

 

HOW TO READ THE GRAPHS?

Besides the table with all participants’ individual prediction, a graphic representation aggregates and visualizes the data: the Bullish/Bearish/Sideways line shows the percentage of our contributors on each of these outlook biases.

This graph is available for each time horizon (1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter). We also indicate the average price forecast as well as the average bias.

WHY SHOULD I USE IT?

Our unique Forex Forecast poll offers you:

  • A sentiment indicator which delivers actionable price levels, not merely “mood” or “positioning” indications. Traders can check if there is unanimity among the surveyed experts - if there is excessive speculator sentiment driving a market - or if there are divergences among them. When sentiment is not at extremes, traders get actionable price targets to trade upon. When there is deviation between actual market rate and value reflected in forecasted rate, there is usually an opportunity to enter the market.
  • No lag in the data: Contrary to other indicators, there is no delay.
  • Significant sentiment data, based on a representative sample of 25 to 50 leading trading advisors for 5 years. Do not follow a single guru but rather a balanced group of well chosen experts. The Forex Forecast Poll offers a condensed version of several expert's opinions. Only outlooks are considered that have been committed to publication and therefore have an influence on the market.
  • A tool for Contrarian thinking: People instinctively follow the impulses of the crowd. Sentiment indicators, in turn, lead to “contrarian” thinking. You can read sentiment extremes and avoid being one of the herd. Contrast own opinions and price outlook with a group of leading trading advisors and money managers.
  • A tool to build strategies upon prediction data: Find patterns data for instance if a trend is gaining or losing energy.
EUR/USD Forecast GBP/USD Forecast USD/JPY Forecast AUD/USD Forecast
USD/CAD Forecast GBP/JPY Forecast NZD/USD Forecast EUR/JPY Forecast