Forex Forecast Polls


The Forex Forecast is a currency sentiment tool that highlights our selected experts' near and medium term mood and calculates trends according to Friday's 15:00 GMT price. The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.



Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: US Dollar to fall further despite ruling uncertainty

EUR/USD: US Dollar to fall further despite ruling uncertainty Premium

The EUR/USD pair remained under selling pressure for a second consecutive week but ended it little changed at around 1.0820. The US Dollar (USD) remained trapped between tariff-related concerns and tepid US data, limiting its safe-haven condition.

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GBP/USD: Pound Sterling braces for Trump’s tariff wave

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling braces for Trump’s tariff wave Premium

The Pound Sterling consolidated its correction from four-month highs against the US Dollar. President Trump’s tariffs and US Nonfarm Payrolls to offer fresh impetus to the GBP/USD pair. The GBP/USD’s bullish bias remains intact, as indicated by the daily technical setup.

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Bitcoin: BTC remains calm before a storm

Bitcoin: BTC remains calm before a storm

Bitcoin's price has been consolidating between $85,000 and $88,000 this week. A K33 report explains how the markets are relatively calm and shaping up for volatility as traders absorb the tariff announcements. PlanB’s S2F model shows that Bitcoin looks extremely undervalued compared to Gold and the housing market.

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Week ahead – US NFP and Eurozone CPI awaited as tariff war heats up, RBA meets

Week ahead – US NFP and Eurozone CPI awaited as tariff war heats up, RBA meets

Trump’s reciprocal tariffs could spur more chaos. US jobs report might show DOGE impact on labour market. Eurozone inflation will be vital for ECB bets as April cut uncertain. RBA to likely hold rates; Canadian jobs, BoJ Tankan survey also on tap.

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AUD/USD: Interim top confirmed, 0.7000 at risk

AUD/USD: Interim top confirmed, 0.7000 at risk Premium

The AUD/USD pair kept falling in the last few days, reaching a fresh multi-week low of 0.7263 on Friday, to close the trading week a handful of pips above it. 

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Gold: Trade war fears lift Gold to new record high

Gold: Trade war fears lift Gold to new record high Premium

Gold gathered bullish momentum and surged to a new record high above $3,080 on Friday after struggling to find direction at the beginning of the week. The unveiling of the US reciprocal tariffs and key macroeconomic data releases from the US could drive Gold’s valuation in the near term. 

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WHAT IS THE FOREX FORECAST POLL?

The Forex Forecast Poll is a sentiment tool that highlights near- and medium-term price expectations from leading market experts.

  • Unique sentiment indicator with a 5-year history
  • For 10 currency pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, GBPJPY, EURJPY, EURGBP)
  • Survey conducted every Friday and published at 15:00 GMT
  • Serves all time horizons: 1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter - includes an average price for each time horizon
  • Followed by traders, market commentators as well as academics

The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.

 

HOW TO READ THE GRAPHS?

Besides the table with all participants’ individual prediction, a graphic representation aggregates and visualizes the data: the Bullish/Bearish/Sideways line shows the percentage of our contributors on each of these outlook biases.

This graph is available for each time horizon (1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter). We also indicate the average price forecast as well as the average bias.

WHY SHOULD I USE IT?

Our unique Forex Forecast poll offers you:

  • A sentiment indicator which delivers actionable price levels, not merely “mood” or “positioning” indications. Traders can check if there is unanimity among the surveyed experts - if there is excessive speculator sentiment driving a market - or if there are divergences among them. When sentiment is not at extremes, traders get actionable price targets to trade upon. When there is deviation between actual market rate and value reflected in forecasted rate, there is usually an opportunity to enter the market.
  • No lag in the data: Contrary to other indicators, there is no delay.
  • Significant sentiment data, based on a representative sample of 25 to 50 leading trading advisors for 5 years. Do not follow a single guru but rather a balanced group of well chosen experts. The Forex Forecast Poll offers a condensed version of several expert's opinions. Only outlooks are considered that have been committed to publication and therefore have an influence on the market.
  • A tool for Contrarian thinking: People instinctively follow the impulses of the crowd. Sentiment indicators, in turn, lead to “contrarian” thinking. You can read sentiment extremes and avoid being one of the herd. Contrast own opinions and price outlook with a group of leading trading advisors and money managers.
  • A tool to build strategies upon prediction data: Find patterns data for instance if a trend is gaining or losing energy.
EUR/USD Forecast GBP/USD Forecast USD/JPY Forecast AUD/USD Forecast
USD/CAD Forecast GBP/JPY Forecast NZD/USD Forecast EUR/JPY Forecast