|

S&P 500 hits important resistance levels

Equity markets are rising after the recovery of demand for risky assets. S&P 500 closed last week at the highs since October, finally convincing everyone of overcoming an important resistance at 2800 points. Shanghai blue-chip index China A50 rose 2.7% on Monday, closing at the highs area since April last year.

As for technical analysis, we are witnessing an almost perfect picture for future stock markets growth. The markets decline during October-December was a "Trump Rally" correction. This correction brought back the attractiveness of those stocks that were drivers of growth in previous years, but then looked a bit overvalued.

The subsequent pullback since the end of last year was sharp, showing overbought levels on the daily charts. In early March, this overbought background turned into a decline, which, in turn, was also bought out. The first bell that the markets did not seriously consider the March decline, was that the markets quickly turned to growth after touching the 200-day moving average.

The second confirmation was the consolidation above 2800 – an important resistance level, from where the S&P 500 turned to decline four times since October.

It is also worth noting that the growth of US stock indices is still far from exhaustion, as the RSI remains in neutral territory.

The S&P 500 has overcome previous important levels of consolidations, and now it can be on the direct path to updating its highs at 2940, which is 4% higher than current levels.

The Fed, the ECB and the PBC rhetoric softening can be noted as the main market drivers. As in 2016, they managed to stop panic sales in the markets by mitigating rhetoric. Later this week, the next Fed meeting will take place, and markets are waiting for the soft rhetoric confirmation of the most important world central bankers, which additionally can breathe life into the demand in the stock markets.

Author

Alexander Kuptsikevich

Alexander Kuptsikevich, a senior market analyst at FxPro, has been with the company since its foundation. From time to time, he gives commentaries on radio and television. He publishes in major economic and socio-political media.

More from Alexander Kuptsikevich
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gains traction to near 1.1800 as tariff uncertainty weighs on US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair holds positive ground around 1.1795 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens against the Euro amid US tariff uncertainty. The release of the US January Producer Price Index report will be in the spotlight later on Friday. 

GBP/USD treads water near 1.3500 as BoE-Fed divergence debate stalls

GBP/USD spent Monday spinning in place as market participants await a fresh catalyst to break the pair out of its recent range. The BoE's February hold came with a surprisingly dovish 5-4 split, and UK Consumer Price Index data last week showed inflation easing to 3.0%, reinforcing the case for earlier rate cuts, with most economists now looking to April or March for the next move. 

Gold down but not out as key $5,140 support holds

Gold consolidates the advance to monthly top of $5,250 in Tuesday’s Asian trades. The US Dollar finds demand as liquidity returns and risk sentiment recovers, despite US tariffs uncertainty. Gold defends 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 amid the pullback, daily RSI remains bullish.

Top Crypto Losers: BCH, HYPE, PUMP extend losses as Bitcoin drops below $64,000

Altcoins, including Bitcoin Cash, Hyperliquid, and Pump.fun, are leading losses over the last 24 hours as Bitcoin falls below $64,000 on Tuesday. The technical outlook for BCH, HYPE, and PUMP flags downside risk amid broader market selling.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

XRP recovers slightly as bearish sentiment dominates crypto market

Ripple is rising above $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid fresh tariff-triggered headwinds in the broader cryptocurrency market. The sell-off to $1.33, the token’s intraday low, can be attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and risk-averse sentiment among other factors.