EUR/USD: holding near its daily low


EUR/USD Current price: 1.1164

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The EUR/USD pair trades near its daily low of 1.1151, unable to advance despite the general improvement in risk sentiment all through financial markets. A strong opening in European share markets helped the pair to post a daily high of 1.1228, although the pair retreated back below the 1.1200 level on strong selling interest waiting for higher levels. Macroeconomic data was better-than-expected in the euro zone, with the EU GDP up 0.4% in the second quarter, and German Trade balance posting a surplus of €22.8B. Ahead of the US opening, the pair presents a mild negative tone in the short term, as the 1 hour chart shows that the price is extending below its 20 SMA, whilst the technical indicators are heading lower in negative territory. In the 4 hours chart, the price is a few pips above a bearish 20 SMA, whilst the technical indicators hold flat around their mid-lines, showing no directional strength at the time being. The immediate support comes at 1.1120, this week low, whilst a recovery above 1.1190 is required to confirm additional advances beyond the mentioned daily high.  

Support levels:  1.1120 1.1080 1.1050 

Resistance levels: 1.1190 1.1230 1.1265 

GBP/USD Current price: 1.5411

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The GBP/USD pair extends its upward correction this Tuesday, with the price advancing above the 1.5400 level and reaching a fresh 6-day high, mostly due to a sudden return of risk appetite. The pair has reached a critical resistance level, the 38.2% retracement of its latest decline, with the 1 hour chart showing that the technical indicators are at extreme overbought levels, beginning to lose their upward strength but far from suggesting a reversal. In the same chart, the 20 SMA heads sharply higher around the 23.6% retracement of the same rally around 1.5320, suggesting some consolidation ahead before the next directional move. In the 4 hours chart, the technical indicators maintain their strong upward momentum, despite being in overbought territory, suggesting a later break higher towards 1.5490, the next Fibonacci resistance. 

Support levels: 1.5360 1.5320 1.5285

Resistance levels: 1.5415 1.5450 1.5490

USD/JPY Current price: 119.90

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The USD/JPY pair advanced up to 120.22, meeting intraday selling interest around its hourly 200 SMA. During the Asian session, Japan released its GDP figures for the Q2, slightly better than expected, although yen weakness was more related to Nikkei's strength. The short term picture is slightly bullish, although the pair needs to extend beyond 120.40 to confirm a stronger upward momentum. The 1hour chart shows that the technical indicators have lost their upward strength, but remain in positive territory, whilst the 100 SMA provides an immediate short term support around 119.60. In the 4 hours chart the technical indicators retain a positive tone above their mid-lines, although the 100 SMA continues heading south well above the current price. 

Support levels: 119.60 119.25 118.90

Resistance levels: 120.10 120.40 120.85

AUD/USD Current price: 0.6993

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The AUD/USD pair flirts with the 0.7000 level, extending its latest recovery and with a short term positive tone, although far from reversing the dominant bearish trend. The 1 hour chart shows that the technical indicators are steady near overbought levels, whilst the technical indicators head higher below the current level. In the 4 hours chart, the price has advanced beyond its 20 SMA, although the technical indicators have turned flat around their mid-lines, losing their upward strength. Should US stocks extend their advance, the pair may extend its recovery, with the next short term resistance at 0.7040, a strong static level.  

Support levels: 0.6965 0.6930 0.6900 

Resistance levels:  0.7000 0.7040 0.7090

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