US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar starts the week on the defensive, markets await inflation data

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading mildly lower at 105.35 on Monday at the midpoint of the US session. The strong market odds and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish stance toward cutting interest rates limits the losses for the US Dollar. Any possible Greenback rally predominantly depends on major US data this week, particularly April’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday.

Latest US Dollar Index News

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Latest US Dollar Index Analysis


Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

Editors' picks

EUR/USD looks bid around 1.0800 as US CPI looms closer

EUR/USD looks bid around 1.0800 as US CPI looms closer

EUR/USD rapidly left behind. Friday’s decline and managed to meet fresh buying interest, reclaiming the area beyond the 1.0800 barrier in response to the resurgence of the downward pressure in the Greenback.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD maintains its bid bias around 1.2560

GBP/USD maintains its bid bias around 1.2560

GBP/USD keeps its auspicious start to the week well and sound and navigates the upper end of the range near 1.2560 on the back of the resumption of the selling bias in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY finds highest bids since suspected ‘Yentervention’ declines, breaks above 156.00

USD/JPY finds highest bids since suspected ‘Yentervention’ declines, breaks above 156.00

USD/JPY broke above the 156.00 handle on Monday as markets continue to chew through Japanese Yen (JPY) gains following a pair of suspected “Yenterventions” from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) at the end of April and beginning of May. The BoJ has remained tight-lipped on the matter, refusing to officially confirm or deny direct intervention in global markets on behalf of the Yen. 

USD/JPY News

Gold under selling pressure near $2,330

Gold under selling pressure near $2,330

Gold prices remain on the back foot amidst some recovery in the Greenback and ahead of the release of US PPI and CPI later in the week, prompting XAU/USD to retest the $2,330 region per troy ounce.

Gold News

Oil prints small uptick while Greenback eases

Oil prints small uptick while Greenback eases

Oil trades around $78.00 after a failed attempt to snap above $80.00 on Friday. More criticism emerges globally towards Israel and its offensive into Gaza. The US Dollar Index steadies around 105.30 ahead of US CPI data later this week.

Oil News

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Fed News & Analysis

FED News

FED ANALYSIS


DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.