SP500 Confusion Prevails

SP500

For the SP500, cycle-wise June 27 was the last Primary cycle trough. 1 that puts us entering the 19th week. I was looking for a possible 50 week low to coincide with that June 27th Primary trough. The sharp move up after the June 27th Primary low seems to confirm this was the 50 week trough as well.

The next estimated Primary cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)  low was estimated to be  October 24 +- 3 weeks with a range of October 3rd to November 14th. As we get closer I use the upcoming Astros to try and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur. As I mentioned some weeks ago on a previous post the cycles, as they get closer to the US Election, cycles that are due may expand into the Election date. The Election date is November 8th. We will need a range around that date and look for Astrological transits or events that have a history of moves near Primary cycle troughs. These will be included in the November Subscribers report. On October 22 the Sun enters Scorpio and will be there until November 21. The market, with the Sun in Scorpio, is often volatile with a history of big moves in both directions during this period. For US stock indices the period when the Sun is in Scorpio and the Moon is in Aquarius can coincide with a change in trend. This year that would be November 6th, 7th, 8th.

I've mentioned Election day, November 8th +- as a possible low but this could mark a high and the start of a more severe slide. We could also see a bounce into the election period then down. It will be very important in assessing the trend as we approach the November 8th period. I'm watching price action as we get closer. Currently I'm looking for a low near November 8th but it could be choppy on the way.

For those who have been reading this blog for awhile I've been looking for some large deceit or lies being exposed. This maybe what is coming out of Wiki leaks and Assange but it hasn't made it to the Main Stream Media. There have been many little lies exposed. The internet outage on October 21 is certainly an indication of how secure the internet is and how vulnerable to attack. As someone said "Build a FireWall before a wall."

The month of November 2016 will be influenced by Neptune. There are 5 transits to Neptune and it will be turning Direct. This should color the period with Neptune issues.

Neptune stands for Socialism, left-wing political idea. It is linked with mobs, secret police, sedation, fraud, swindling, illicit undertakings, bogus companies, loss, lies and deceit. The exact dates of transits are reserved for subscribers.

In addition there is a 12 year cycle hitting near the end of the month. This synodic cycle relates to the growth of international terrorism and political power. It also has evidence of an impact on the economy. In brief, the attainment of power of all kinds.

One area of note. Saturn will be at 14 degrees, 41 minutes in Sagittarius on November 3rd. This is conjunct the Fixed Star Sarin. Fixed Stars are treated as if they stand still.

They do move but very slowly. Saturn moves slowly as well. It takes approx. 29 years for one trip around the Sun. The last time Saturn was in this position was September 5, 1987. A few days before the market crash of '87. This is far from definite but look for a possible severe move down around November 3rd - 8th or shortly thereafter. We'll know better as we get closer in time.

In mundane astrology the star names can also be significant. On March 20, 1995 there was a sarin attack on the Tokyo subway, killing at least a dozen people, severely injuring fifty and causing temporary vision problems for nearly a thousand others. Transiting Jupiter was conjunct this fixed star Sarin. Note I am not forecasting the same event.

Mars entered Capricorn on Sept 27th where it is exalted. One more piece of a move from mutable signs to Cardinal signs. Here Mars, male energy, is the initiator of action in the worldly environment and is kept in check by Saturn the ruler of Capricorn. Mars leaves Capricorn and enters Aquarius on November 9th, the day after the US Election. Planets changing signs often occur near the markets changing trend.

We saw a number of earthquakes over 6.0 in October. With a number of  Neptune transits in November we may be seeing more.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The grey line is an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of the subscribers report.

Note the next V shaped bottom of that indicator is right on October 24th, 2016. It has no polarity by itself. This suggests there will be a move but not the direction of the move.

With the latest news out of the US and the election with the FBI reviewing additional eMails it seems to fit with a period of time when Neptune is active. Lies, deceit and confusion. For longer term readers, this may be the surprise I was looking for.

Following is our normal daily chart for the SP500. Price is now below both the 15 and 45 day sma's and the 15 day is below the 45 day. A usual setup leading into a Primary cycle low.

In addition there is a Mars waning square to Uranus and Venus conjunct Saturn on Saturday October 29th.  Mars waning square to Uranus is a powerful aspect but needs a wide orb +- 1.5 weeks. Venus conjunct Saturn has a strong correlation to Primary cycle turns. I think these will wait closer to the November 8th date.

Following is a chart of the planetary average longitude. The horizontal blue lines are based on the average longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto which are converted to price. The levels this calculates typically are excellent points to place sell or buy stops. I often use them with Fibonacci retracement levels as well. Price started down Oct. 24th and appeared to be speeding up with the US election news on  Oct. 24th. Note my comments on Saturn position further up n this post.

Two charts we have not shown for awhile are the weekly charts of the DJIA with the 40 week and 18 cycles. The cycles are the vertical blue lines. Both are due to turn down.

40 week

18week

 

Harmonics

I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycle between the Sun and Saturn, which are the brown squares on the following daily chart. The next hits are Nov 4th then Nov. 23rd.  They are often at short changes in trend.

Rumors from the FED that Yellen wants a "high-pressure economy" meaning increased inflation with no rate cuts. There were also rumors of the FED buying stock directly. They should review Japan again.

“The future influences the present just as much as the past.”
-- Friedrich Nietzsche

 

Gold

I was looking at May 31 as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle trough.

Gold appears to be trying to move up. We have hit a couple of the dates identified in the subscribers report with more to come. A review of the daily chart shows the 15 and 45 day sma are pointed down with the 15 day flat and price below both. The Gold Primary cycle is due for a trough. It is currently entering the 21st week. Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that is due for a trough then up.

It is possible October 7th was the Primary low but unconfirmed. Price hasn't made a big move up. I'm looking for a trough in Gold between November 2 -9 or near November 24, 25 both +- 3 td's. When the trough is in we may be looking at a significant rise in precious metals.

The following weekly chart for Gold has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. It has been close to both highs and lows and we are close now.

The next chart is a longer term monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish in the long term. I'm looking for a more substantial move up later in November.

 

Crude

Feb 11 was the start of the previous Primary cycle. The crude cycle trough hit again on August 3rd where we have another Primary Cycle trough (PB).

We have had a Major cycle (aka 6 week cycle) crest (MT) and a Major cycle trough (MB) and are going up into the second Major cycle of the Primary cycle.

I'm watching all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members. We had been looking for a retest of the August lows but now may have put in the crest of this Primary cycle on October 19th. Many markets will be influenced by the US leading into the November 8th election. With the multiple Neptune aspects crude could be volatile in November.

Crude may be headed down here or it could put in one more Major cycle (6 week) high and then down.

Following is a daily chart of crude shows the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent moves down in crude have been stopped at the up sloping green line, the Sun price line. Pluto, the black line often acts as support or resistance.